Best MLB Player Props Today 7/5/25 – Fernando Tatis Jr. 2+ Total Bases

Welcome back to our Best MLB Player Props Today 7/5/25. Today, we’re targeting Fernando Tatis Jr. for a big day at the plate against a pitcher he has crushed throughout his career.

Best MLB Player Props Today 7/5/25 Today’s Featured Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr.

📌 Matchup: San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers

📌 Pitcher: Patrick Corbin (LHP)

📌 Prop Pick: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 DraftKings)

Why We Love This Prop

1. Dominant Career Numbers vs. Patrick Corbin

Fernando Tatis Jr. has an elite track record against Corbin:

• Career vs Corbin: .556 average (5 for 9) with 2 home runs (ESPN Player Stats).

• Slugging Against Corbin:His slugging % vs Corbin is 1.444, reflecting both home runs and extra-base hits in minimal at-bats.

2. Corbin’s Recent Struggles

Patrick Corbin has been hittable all season, and the last month has been no different:

• ERA Over Last Month: 5.28 (MLB.com Corbin Stats).

• Season Home vs Road Splits: Corbin has allowed twice as many home runs in road starts than at home, making today’s road matchup even more appealing for Padres hitters.

3. Tatis’ Strong Splits vs Lefties

Fernando Tatis Jr. is elite against left-handed pitching:

• 2025 vs LHP: .309 average, .569 slugging percentage, and a .951 OPS (Fangraphs Tatis Splits).

His power vs lefties remains one of the highest in MLB, and he consistently ranks top 10% in barrel rate against southpaws (Baseball Savant Tatis Profile).

4. Ballpark & Weather Factors

• Petco Park: Slightly neutral park factor overall, but boosts right-handed pull power with 75°F game time temperatures and light winds out to left today (Weather.com San Diego Forecast).

Why Over 1.5 Total Bases Is the Best Play

✅ Tatis has a proven track record against Corbin with extra-base hit power.

✅ Corbin is vulnerable to right-handed power hitters, especially on the road.

✅ Tatis is seeing the ball well lately, coming in on a 6 game hitting streak.

✅ Corbin’s pitch mix (low-90s fastball, slider) aligns with Tatis’ swing path, which has produced a .345 xBA and .645 xSLG against similar profiles this season.

Stats Recap

Prop	Stat
Career vs Corbin	.556 (5 for 9), 2 HRs
Season vs LHP	.309 avg, .569 SLG
Corbin Road HR Split	2x as many HRs allowed on road

Final Pick – Best MLB Player Prop Today 7/5/25

Bet: Fernando Tatis Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases (-110 DraftKings)

Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆

Why This Bet Hits:

• Elite matchup history vs Corbin

• Corbin struggling recently & vulnerable on the road

• Tatis’ dominant power splits vs LHP

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Let’s cash today with Tatis’ total bases prop and keep stacking winners this holiday weekend. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s Best MLB Player Props to keep building your bankroll.