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Best MLB Player Props Today 7/9/25 – MLB Pitcher Props Today

  • Writer: Kof
    Kof
  • Jul 9
  • 3 min read

Welcome back to our Best MLB Player Props Today 7/9/25. Today, we’re targeting two strong MLB pitcher props featuring a win prop and an alternative strikeout parlay backed by elite matchup data and trends.


If you’re looking to build your bankroll with smart, data-driven MLB props, these are the top picks to lock in today.


Today’s Featured Picks: MLB Pitcher Props Today 7/9/25

1. Lucas Giolito To Record a Win (-110 DraftKings)

🔍 Why We Love This Prop

  • Recent Dominance & Durability: Giolito has been going deep into games consistently, which is crucial for a win prop. Over his last five starts, he’s pitched:

    • 7.2 innings

    • 7 innings

    • 6 innings

    • 6 innings

    • 6 innings

    • (MLB.com Giolito Game Logs)

  • Matchup vs Rockies: The Red Sox have been blowing out the Rockies, outscoring them 19-5 in this series so far. Colorado ranks 29th in MLB in runs per game on the road this season (ESPN Team Stats).

  • Opponent Pitcher Vulnerability: It’s an Antonio Senzatela day, and he’s been a fade all season:

    • Record: 3-12

    • ERA: 6.57(MLB.com Senzatela Stats)


Why This Bet Has Value: Instead of taking Red Sox ML at -313, you can back Giolito to record the win at -110, capturing the value while trusting his durability and the Red Sox’s hot bats.


2. MLB Strikeout Props: Alternative Lines Parlay

Bet: Tyler Glasnow 5+ Strikeouts / Dylan Cease 5+ Strikeouts (Parlay)


🔥 Tyler Glasnow 5+ Strikeouts

  • Return to the Rotation: Glasnow will make his first start since April, and the Dodgers need him to pitch deep with how things have been going for them lately.

  • Recent Strikeout Data: Glasnow has thrown 5+ strikeouts in 3 of his 4 starts this season when pitching more than one inning (Fangraphs Glasnow Game Logs).

  • Matchup: The Brewers average 7.99 strikeouts per game (MLB Team K Stats). Glasnow also has an elite 48% strikeout rate vs the hitters in today’s lineup (Baseball Savant Glasnow vs MIL).


🔥 Dylan Cease 5+ Strikeouts

  • Consistency: Cease has recorded 5+ strikeouts in 9 of his last 11 starts (ESPN Cease Game Logs).

  • Strikeout Rate: He has a 26.7% strikeout rate on the season.

  • Matchup vs Diamondbacks: Cease has held this Arizona lineup to a .211 batting average lifetime, giving him the edge to pitch confidently and deep into this start (Baseball Reference Cease vs ARI).


Stats Recap

Prop

Stat

Lucas Giolito Win

6+ innings in last 5 starts, facing Senzatela (6.57 ERA)

Tyler Glasnow 5+ Ks

5+ Ks in 3 of 4 starts, 48% K rate vs MIL hitters

Dylan Cease 5+ Ks

5+ Ks in 9 of last 11 starts, .211 avg allowed vs ARI

Why These MLB Pitcher Props Have Value Today

  • Giolito’s deep starts + Red Sox run support

  • Glasnow’s elite strikeout upside in limited innings

  • Cease’s consistency with a strong matchup edge


Final Picks – Best MLB Player Props Today

🔴 Lucas Giolito To Record a Win (-110)

🔴 Strikeout Parlay: Tyler Glasnow 5+ Ks / Dylan Cease 5+ Ks

Confidence Rating: ★★★★☆


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Let’s cash today with these pitcher props and continue building your bankroll through the All-Star break. Stay tuned for tomorrow’s Best MLB Player Props to keep your winning streak alive.

MLB Pitcher Props Today 7/9/25

 
 
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