We've got Thursday Night Football on Prime between the Saints and Rams tonight and we are breaking down one of the suggested Fanduel Same Game Parlays for 12/21/23. I think this is a tough game to pick a side or over under based on where these teams are at. With that said, I will be focusing on player props in this game which you can find my best bets for tonight's game on our VIP Picks page (15-4 in our last 19 TNF Prime plays). The screen shot below is taken from Fanduel Sportsbook's suggested same game parlay which they share based on how many people place the bets. Let's take a look at this one below and I will share some stats and insights for it.
Fanduel Same Game Parlay 12/21/23
New Orleans Saints vs Los Angeles Rams Same Game Parlay 12/21/23
1,356 People Placed (as of 3 est)
Analysis:
Kyren Williams 80+ rushing yards is the first leg and that number might feel big at first glance but he's reeled off 152, 114, 88, 143, & 158 in his last 5 games. The Saints defense has been much better against the pass than the run so it's a solid matchup for Williams. Next up is Cooper Kupp for 70+ receiving yards and he comes into this one with back to back 100+ yard games. That Saints defense has been stingy against the pass ranked #6 in pass defense but Kupp at 70+ seems reachable. Next up is Chris Olave 60+ receiving yards which he is just 3-4 vs that number in his last 7 games. Derek Carr 200+ passing yards is next which he's 7-2 to the over in his last 9 so that one feels pretty good against a Rams pass defense that ranks just 21st. The final leg is Alvin Kamara 25+ rushing yards. I mean, this is the easiest leg of the parlay and he's gone over 25 rushing yards in all 11 games.
Confidence ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
I'll go 4 out of 5 here, but the 4 out of 5 confidence is on the revised version below. My biggest concern is going to be Olave getting to 60+ which has hit less than 50% over his last 7 games. I'll say I'm super confident in the Kamara line at 25+ so you could tweak the alt lines to take less receiving yards for Olave and more rushing yards for Kamara to get similar odds. Actually, you can get better odds by doing just that. Let's pull Olave down to 40+ yards which he has done in 7 of his last 8 and pull Kamara up to 40+ rushing which he has done in 10 of his 11 games this season:
Kyren Williams 80+ Rushing Yards
Cooper Kupp 70+ Receiving Yards
Chris Olave 40+ Receiving Yards
Derek Carr 200+ Passing Yards
+574
