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MLB Player Prop Bets 7/10/24: All Eyes on Severino

Tonight, the New York Mets face off against the Washington Nationals, and all eyes are on Luis Severino. With +105 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook, betting on Severino to record a win looks promising and much better value than Mets full game moneyline to win the game at -192. Let's dive into the matchup, Severino's past performance against the Nationals lineup, and the Mets' success against Nationals starting pitcher Patrick Corbin.

MLB Player Prop Bets 7/10/24

Luis Severino's Matchup Against the Nationals

Luis Severino has been a solid presence on the mound for the Mets this season. In his 18 starts, he has posted a 5-3 record with a 3.83 ERA across 103 1/3 innings pitched, striking out 77 batters. Severino's ability to control the game and limit damage has been a key factor in his success.

Historically, Severino has managed to keep the Nationals' key hitters at bay. For example, this lineup has not had much success against Severino, managing just a .226 average with no home runs, no triples, and no doubles. This track record indicates that Severino has the upper hand against the Nationals' lineup. He also held them to 1 run over 8 innings the last time he faced them earlier this season on 6/5.

Mets' Lineup vs. Patrick Corbin

On the other side of the matchup, the Mets' lineup has had considerable success against Nationals' starting pitcher Patrick Corbin (but who hasn't!?). Corbin, who holds a 5.49 ERA and 1-8 record, has struggled throughout the season. The Mets' hitters have taken advantage of Corbin's inconsistencies, with players like Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor boasting impressive stats against him. Alonso, in particular, has a history of hitting Corbin hard, with a .326 average and 5 career home runs against him.

Why Severino is Poised for the Win

Combining Severino's effective pitching against the Nationals' lineup and the Mets' offensive success against Corbin creates a favorable scenario for Severino to record a win tonight. The Mets' strong lineup is likely to give Severino the run support he needs, while Severino's own performance should limit the Nationals' scoring opportunities.

With all these factors in mind, betting on Luis Severino to record a win at +105 odds on DraftKings Sportsbook is a smart move. The Mets are positioned well to support their pitcher, making this a prop bet worth considering.

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