Monday Night Football Player Props: Bears vs Vikings (Week 1, 2025)

Monday Night Football is here, and the NFC North battle between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings has plenty of intrigue. Both teams enter the season with major questions on offense and revamped rosters, making player props a strong angle to target in this divisional showdown.

Our best Monday Night Football player prop play for Bears vs Vikings is Aaron Jones Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110), and the stats back it up as one of the sharpest bets on the board.

Game Preview – Bears vs Vikings

The Bears enter 2025 with Caleb Williams as the franchise quarterback of the future, but Week 1 is all about how the defense responds after ranking 27th in rushing yards allowed per game (136.1) last season. Chicago’s front seven struggled with consistency, giving up big runs and failing to control the line of scrimmage.

The Vikings, on the other hand, are handing the keys to rookie quarterback JJ McCarthy, who will be making his NFL debut on the road in primetime. Head coach Kevin O’Connell is expected to keep the offense balanced, leaning on his veteran running back Aaron Jones to stabilize the offense and take pressure off the young quarterback.

Both teams project as run-heavy early, which is why player props tied to rushing production look like the best value.

Monday Night Football Player Props: Bears vs Vikings: Aaron Jones Over 51.5 Rushing Yards

Why We Like It:

• Consistency: Jones went over 51.5 rushing yards in 65% of games last season.

• Division Domination: He gashed the Bears twice last year, rushing for 106 yards in the first matchup and 86 yards in the second — both times covering this exact line.

• Game Script: With rookie QB JJ McCarthy making his debut, Minnesota should feed Jones early and often. Expect 20+ touches if the game stays close.

• Chicago’s Defense: The Bears allowed 136 rushing yards per game (27th in NFL) in 2024. This weakness plays directly into Jones’ strength.

• RB1 Role: Despite the addition of Jordan Mason, Jones remains the clear RB1 in Minnesota. He closed last season strong and remains the most reliable offensive weapon in this matchup.

• Track Record vs Chicago: Jones has a history of dominating this defense. He’s also scored in both of his last two games against the Bears, showing multi-level upside.

We actually bet on this number (51.5) the last time Jones faced the Bears — and he cashed it with ease. We’re going back to it tonight.

Pick: Aaron Jones Over 51.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Conclusion – Monday Night Football Props

This Week 1 matchup between the Bears and Vikings is filled with storylines, but the betting value lies in the trenches. The combination of Chicago’s porous run defense and JJ McCarthy’s debut under center makes Aaron Jones Over 51.5 rushing yards the best Monday Night Football player prop on the board.

History, matchup data, and game script all point to Jones clearing this line once again. Ride the veteran running back to get us paid in primetime.