NFL 2025 Season Win Totals (by Team)

Before kickoff, one of the sharpest long-term NFL bets you can make is on season win totals — a simple over/under bet on how many games each team will win during the regular season. These lines are shaped by roster moves, schedule strength, coaching changes, and public perception. Whether you’re looking to find value in a bounce-back team or fade the offseason hype, this guide breaks down every NFL team’s projected win total for 2025 — in alphabetical order — with a quick-hit analysis to help you start forming your betting strategy.

NFL 2025 Season Win Totals

Arizona Cardinals – 8.5 wins

Oddsmakers peg Arizona at a modest 8.5 win total, reflecting a team that's competitive but not elite. Expect hype around development under new leadership and see if Kyler Murray can mature.

Atlanta Falcons – 7.5

Atlanta’s line sits at 7.5, suggesting expectations of an improved offense but still growing consistency year‑to‑year 

Baltimore Ravens – 11.5

The Ravens are locked at 11.5 wins, tying elite teams like Philly and Buffalo in projections — a nod to their high-powered offense and postseason pedigree. Can Lamar get them over the hump this year? 

Buffalo Bills – 11.5

Also set at 11.5, Buffalo enters 2025 as a top tier team with Super Bowl aspirations. Betting markets lean toward the over at sharp juice levels.

Carolina Panthers – 6.5

Rebuild mode continues in Carolina with a low 6.5 win total, underlining uncertainty in the outlook and young roster questions.

Chicago Bears – 8.5

Chicago is projected at 8.5 wins, signaling moderate optimism under a new coaching regime mixed with roster questions.

Cincinnati Bengals – 9.5

Cincinnati’s line sits at 9.5, placing them in solid playoff team territory but not among the elite over-hitters.

Cleveland Browns – 5.5

At 5.5 wins, the Browns are among the lowest expected finishers — reflecting quarterback uncertainty and organizational turnover. 

Dallas Cowboys – 7.5

Coach and roster changes put Dallas at 7.5 wins, suggesting tempered expectations despite their historic fan demand.

Denver Broncos – 9.5

Denver’s line also reads 9.5 wins, a sign oddsmakers see the team as mid-level in the AFC, with upside but no clear edge. 

Detroit Lions – 10.5

Detroit projects to finish at 10.5 wins, boosted by last year’s franchise-record 15‑win performance and playoff expectations.

Green Bay Packers – 9.5

The Packers’ 9.5 line indicates modest hopes in the NFC North, banking on incremental roster improvements under LaFleur. 

Houston Texans – 9.5

Houston is similarly projected at 9.5 wins, suggesting expectations for a bounce-back season but still limited playoff confidence.

Indianapolis Colts – 7.5

At 7.5 wins, the Colts face questions at QB and roster balance, with little margin for error in a competitive AFC. 

Jacksonville Jaguars – 7.5

Jacksonville's projection sits at 7.5 wins amid questions of consistency despite occasional flashes of promise.

Kansas City Chiefs – 11.5

KC sits at 11.5, tied with other contenders. Public sentiment is mixed—with some backing the over, others fading potential regression. The refs are definitely smashing the over! 

Las Vegas Raiders – 6.5

Raiders are set at 6.5 wins — reflecting projected struggles and coaching transition under Carroll with explosive play issues to fix. 

LA Chargers – 9.5

Chargers also project at 9.5 wins, a nod to talent upside tempered by quarterback health and playoff volatility. 

LA Rams – 9.5

The Rams line reads 9.5 wins, indicating a middle-tier projection as they rebuild around aging stars and front office changes. 

Miami Dolphins – 7.5

Miami's line sits at 7.5 wins, surprisingly low given their weapons; questions remain about QB health and offensive identity. "And Tua has been sacked....again." 

Minnesota Vikings – 8.5

Minnesota projects to finish 8.5 wins, expecting regression off last year's 14–3 season but still playoff-viable. 

New England Patriots – 8.5

With a fresh regime, New England’s projection is a modest 8.5 wins, betting public still skeptical despite optimism. 

New Orleans Saints – 6.5

Saints are at 6.5 wins, reflecting QB transition unsettled expectations and NFC South competitiveness. 

New York Giants – 5.5

Giants project to only 5.5 wins, reflecting a brutal schedule and media consensus of regression despite roster turnover. "Giants Country, let's ride." Alright Russ, settle down bro. 

New York Jets – 5.5

Also at 5.5, the Jets face low expectations despite a relatively favorable schedule; rebuilding continues under new coach Aaron Glenn. 

Philadelphia Eagles – 11.5

Philadelphia is pegged at 11.5, but sharper models lean toward the under due to strength of schedule concerns. 

Pittsburgh Steelers – 8.5

At 8.5 wins, market confidence remains cautious despite the Aaron Rodgers addition signaling limited upside expectations. They say old guys have a hard time getting it up. 

San Francisco 49ers – 10.5

49ers are projected at 10.5 wins, reflecting contention window still open, but possible regression after offseason changes. 

Seattle Seahawks – 7.5

Seattle’s 7.5 win total suggests a rebuilding year under new leadership, with little playoff margin for error. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 9.5

Buccaneers project to finish 9.5 wins, banking on veteran core and offensive continuity despite aging roster. 

Tennessee Titans – 5.5

The Titans are among the lowest at 5.5 wins, entering a rebuild with rookie QB and uncertainty in key positions. 

Washington Commanders – 9.5

Washington sits at 9.5 wins, pairing optimism around key acquisitions with tough schedule concerns highlighted by oddsmakers.

Check Back for Previews & Picks

We’ll be publishing individual team previews and win total picks for each franchise over the next month. Bookmark this page and return often — you’ll find expert analysis, edge spotting, and smart bet ideas as we break each team down.