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NFL Player Prop Free Pick 10/30/23

The NFL Player Prop selection won the Twitter poll for the free pick tonight so that's what we are going with. The Lions are coming off of a straight up ass whooping against the Ravens last week and the Raiders are looking to get back to .500 on the season. We are targeting a player who is a #2 on the depth chart but should be getting #1 reps with the #1 running back out tonight. Let's get into the pick and analysis.


8:15 EST

Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Over (69.5)

  • He’s only cleared this number once this season but that was a game where David Montgomery was OUT and he is out again tonight. Gibbs had 80 rushing yards in that game.

  • Gibbs has averaged 4.9 yards per carry this season and he’s going up against the Raiders defense that has allowed 129 rushing yards per game.

  • Gibbs had his most carries the first game that Montgomery was out and the Lions were playing with a lead. I look for a similar situation to play out tonight and he should get 70+ for us.

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