Happy Thanksgiving! I hope you all have a great day with friends and family. I’m thankful for all of you allowing me to do what I do 💪 Today when you’re watching the games and cashing these bets, know that I am truly thankful for your support and trust. Here’s to a winning day and on to the stretch run for football! Who’s hungry!?!?
12:30 EST
Alt Line Parlay
Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ Rush Yds / Rico Dowdle 50+ Rush Yds (-129) FD - Stuffing 🥇
Alternate lines to improve our chances of hitting this. I don’t suggest alternating your scoop of stuffing today. 1.5 or 2 scoops is well worth it because this one is tasting delicious.
Gibbs has ripped off 50+ in 10 straight games and the Bears D has allowed 129.7 rushing yards per game.
Uncle Rico was known for throwing the ball a quarter mile but he’s going to run it for a quarter mile today. He’s had 86, 75, & 87 in recent games that weren’t blowouts. The GMen have the 3rd worst run defense in the league. BRING THE STUFFING UNCLE RICO!!
12:30 EST
Player Prop
Caleb Williams Passing Yards Over (228.5) - Mashed Potatoes 🥔 4️⃣
It’s a comfort food and this is a comfort play. The Lions having a lead and Williams to keep throwing while playing from behind is as sure as Auntie Laurie bringing “the best” mashed potatoes every year.
Williams is coming off of a 340 yard passing game last week.
The Lions pass defense actually ranks 25th in passing yards allowed per game.
And best factor of all, the Lions are favored by 9.5 which means Williams will likely be playing from behind which should lead to more passing in this game.
This game is in Detroit inside so weather conditions are perfect for passing.
4:25 EST
Cowboys (-3) 🦃 🍗 🥈
America’s Team on Thanksgiving only seems right to be the main course of the meal for us.
I’ll play the adjusted -3 at -130 to avoid the 3.5.
Cowboys just knocked off the Commanders last week while the Giants got blown the fuck out 30-7 vs the Bucs.
The Giants might be without their backup (starting) QB Tommy DeVito.
I honestly don’t have positive things to say about either of these teams at this point but if two shitty teams are playing each other at 4:25 on Thanksgiving I’m betting on it.
Cowboys QB Cooper Rush was actually pretty good last week with a 75% completion % and 2 touchdowns with no interceptions. CeeDee Lamb always has big games vs the Giants.
The Cowboys defense did something last week they haven’t done all season and that was stop the run vs runningbacks. I like that momentum for them vs a bad Giants offense today.
Let’s take Dallas to cover at home vs the 2-9 Little Giants.
8:20 EST
Player Prop
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Over (71.5) FD - Green Bean Casserole 🥉
Green Bean, Green Bay this one was too obvious to pass on like you might pass on this dish. But don’t pass on it today. I get it, it might look disgusting but there’s a good chance it’s been served at 6 of your last 7 Thanksgivings just like Jacobs has gone over this line in 6 of his last 7 games.
Gametime temp shows a real feel of 11 degrees so I’m thinking a smash mouth run the ball strategy for the Packers tonight.
Jacobs is 4th in the league in rushing attempts and 3rd in the league in rushing yards.
He’s gone over 71.5 in 6 of his last 7 games!
Dessert Anyone?
Anytime TD Parlay
A little mix of everything on the dessert offering with this one and a SWEET payout
Jahmyr Gibbs
Amon-Ra St Brown
Rico Dowdle
CeeDee Lamb
Josh Jacobs
Jaylen Waddle
110-1 odds on FD