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VIP Picks 1/18/24

I mean 2 games were postponed and Giannis was ruled out for the parlay. Hopefully most of you didn't lock it in early and for those of you that did, hopefully you hedged it off to limit the damage. It's crazy how often these random injury status' pop up later in the day for the NBA. We did hit our CJ McCollum strong play so that was a good one for us! On to today, we are starting it up with a PGA play and then the rest of the plays will be added by 5 pm est.


Top 10

Scottie Scheffler (-140)

He's favored to win but the best bet of the weekend is for him to finish in the Top 10. He finished 5th at the Sentry Tournament a couple of weeks ago and he had 17 Top 10 finishes in 23 events last season. Pretty close to 75% trend so let's ride that this weekend and go for a high percentage.


7:30 EST

Player Prop

Immanuel Quickley Points Over (19.5)

  • The Raptors traded their leading scorer Siakam yesterday and Quickley was tied for the most shot attempts on the team last night with 16. 

  • He missed 7 two point shots and 3 three point shots and still finished with 17 points. 

  • Quickley has gone over 19.5 in 5 of his last 8 games and he’s only had more than 16 shot attempts in 1 of those games.

  • I like his potential here as it will take a few games for the books to adjust to the Raptors new look offense but I think this a good spot to take Quickley’s prop tonight despite it being the second night of a back to back. 


8:00 EST

Illinois (-142)

  • I’ll take the moneyline to avoid the 2.5 even though I don’t think it will come into play but it is a road team on a week night in College Basketball so let’s take the higher percentage play.

  • Illinois comes in as the #14 ranked team and some will call out their 1-2 road record but one loss was a 5 point loss to #1 Purdue and the other was a 7 point loss to Tennessee who is the #6 team now and that was a Saturday game. Those aren’t bad losses by any means.

  • Michigan is far from a Top 10 team as they come in 7-10 on the season and they have lost 5 of their last 6 games. They haven’t even stepped on the court with a ranked opponent this season so I expect Illinois to handle them.

  • Looking at the betting splits, I’m surprised to see that only 62% of the tickets are on Illinois so it’s not a massive liability to the books which makes me feel even better about it.

*Since this is a late play, if the other plays look good or have already won by the time this one is starting, I am all for going for 2 units on this one. From a bankroll management perspective, I would wait to see how the other plays look before locking in 2 units though!

Cross Sport:

10:00 EST

Canucks ML / Timberwolves ML (-143)

  • The Canucks return home from their 7 game road trip which they went 5-2 on and they’ve had a couple days off so they should be fresh to take their home ice tonight where they have gone 14-4-1 this season.

  • The Coyotes come to town and will have Connor Ingram in net who has been good this season but he will be tested against this #1 ranked Canucks offense.

  • The Canucks have also been building on their league leading goal differential at +56 which is 27 goals better at a minimum than 30 other teams in the league. 

  • It should be Demko in net for VAN and we can feel good about that at 22-8-1 with a 2.47 GA/G.

  • The Timberwolves will be on TNT tonight and I know Grizzlies should be higher on the food chain than Timberwolves out in the wild but the TWolves are going to be the ones feasting tonight.

  • The Grizzlies won’t have their whole pack with them with Ja Morant, Desmond Bane, and Marcus Smart out (3 of their top 4 scorers) but that should really make it an easy win for the TWolves.

  • The Twolves have already won the first 2 meetings in the season series 119-97 and 127-103.


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