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VIP Picks 1/18/25

We’ve got some momentum going into today just like we planned on by going 4-0 the last 2 days with a 2 unit plus money play. Now we try to top the Saturday we had last week for NFL Playoffs and I’m feeling good about it! Koooooofsports!!


NFL:

4:30 EST

Teaser 6 Point

Texans / Chiefs Over (35.5) / Lions (-2.5)

  • Texans and Chiefs went over 35.5 in their game a few weeks ago with 46. Both teams were successful on third down (54%) which allowed them to extend drives and I expect that again today. 24-14 would work perfectly. 

  • Lions will be home against the Commanders and the major mismatch in this game is the Commanders 27th ranked run defense vs Gibbs and Montgomery. The Lions also had a BYE week last week while the Commanders played a tough game vs the Bucs, yes they won but that game took a lot of physicality and energy. 


4:30 EST

Alt Line Parlay

Joe Mixon 50+ Rush Yds / Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ Rush Yds (-118)

  • Mixon has an ankle injury he’s dealing with but a shot to the ankle pregame and he will be good to go. The only way Mixon doesn’t get 50 rushing yards is if this game turns into a blowout early like 21-0 in the first because the Texans will abandon the run game. Mixon had 106 last week even though the cover came late. 

  • Gibbs has a dream matchup vs the Commanders and their 27th ranked run defense. He’s hit 50+ rushing yards in 14 of his 17 games this season (82% trend)


4:30 EST

Player Prop

DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Over (2.5) 💪 

  • It’s -160 but we are betting this one strong to make up for the juice.

  • Hopkins has gone over 2.5 receptions in 8 straight games including a game vs the Texans on 12/21 where he made us money on the same prop.

  • The Texans D allowed 9 receptions to Ladd McConkey last week.

  • The Chiefs brought Hopkins in for the playoffs and for a chance to 3 peat. 



Low Risk High Reward

(Not intended to be a full 1 unit play example if you bet $100 per bet, this should be like a $5 or $10 FUNZEY)


4:30 EST

Noah Gray First TD / Jahmyr Gibbs First TD (105 to 1 odds)


Anytime TD Scorers (ranked in order of confidence)

  • Jahmyr Gibbs

  • Saquon Barkley

  • Derrick Henry

Parlay pays (+235) not a lotto but seems like good odds for some very likely TD Scorers

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