2-2 Friday with the golf play and the same game parlay. The Lakers were up 12 on the Nets then gave up 68 points in the second half. The Celtics and Nuggets were on track for 252 after the first quarter but it really slowed down after that. On to Saturday!
Purdue ML / North Carolina ML(-121)
Two Top 4 teams playing on the road today for -121
Purdue will be at Iowa who they beat 87-68 the first time they played them this season. Iowa can be tough at home but they are 0-3 vs ranked opponents this season.
UNC will be at Boston College today but they’ve already beat better teams on the road. The conference records speak more than the overall records with UNC at 6-0 and BC at 2-4. BC’s overall record makes them look good but they are beating up on teams like Central Connecticut State (even I beat them in College)
Bucks ML / Kansas ML / Ravens ML / Bruins ML (+115)
Giannis is back and it’s the Pistons who the Bucks beat 146-114 last time. Bucks should win.
Kansas on the country roads but taking us home to the place we belong vs 6-11 West Virginia who lost by 34 to the only other Top 10 team they’ve faced.
Ravens at home vs a hot Texans team but the Ravens dominated down the stretch and had 6 wins in the regular season vs playoff teams which is the most in the league. Lamar Jackson.
Bruins are at home vs the Canadiens who they beat 5-2 last time they played them.
I hate the spreads for both of these games so let’s focus on player props:
Isaiah Likely Receiving Yards Over (36.5)
Mark Andrews is OUT and I started typing this one up soon as I saw that news.
Likely has gone over 36.5 receiving yards in 5 straight games with Lamar Jackson.
He’s had yard totals of 42, 56, 70, 83, & 40.
Remember last week? We took Njoku over because this Texans defense had allowed the 5th most yards to tight ends this season.
Let’s take Likely to go over this number easy today!
Christian McCaffrey Rushing Yards Over (92.5)
No surprise here but the glaring mismatch in this game is the 49ers strong running game with McCaffrey going up the Packers 28th ranked run defense that has allowed 128 rushing yards per game this season.
McCaffrey went over 92.5 in 6 of his last 7 games that mattered in the regular season with rushing yard totals of 103, 115, 145, 93, 114, & 95.
It’s probably not a bad idea for the 49ers to establish the run and sustain long drives in this game to keep the Packers red hot offense on the sideline as much as possible after their 48 point game last week.
The one weakness I see out of the Packers is their run defense which wasnt necessarily exploited down the stretch but they have been blowing teams out.
The 49ers had the 3rd ranked rushing attack this season and I expect them to lean on that in this game tonight.
I also think they lean running game to avoid Purdy having to do too much in a playoff game.
🚨 Added 6:30 est 🚨
Bruins ML / 49ers ML (-161) 💪 To Win 1 unit