A grind of a week last week to essentially finish the week even at -0.01 units so a $10 bettor would be down $1 on the week. I could point to a couple that didn't go our way that should have but we also won some that could have very well gone the other way so I will keep my mouth shut on that. Full disclosure, I got the Covid as of last night so I've put together these plays and some quick write ups but they might not be as detailed as normal. I didn't look at every game like I always do, I just went straight for the matchups that I like for tonight and trying to get some good value.
UNC ML / Suns ML (-106)
UNC will be home tonight where they are 8-0 on the season.
13-5 Wake Forest comes to town but they haven’t faced a ranked opponent all season so #4 UNC should take care of business.
The Suns will be home and riding a 5 game winning streak and KD just had 40 and Booker just had 52 in recent games.
The Bulls have struggled on the road this season (7-13) and the Suns already beat them this season.
Jeremy Sochan Threes Made Over (0.5)
Sochan is on an 11 game streak where he has made at least 1 three pointer.
He doesn’t take a lot but he’s hit one in 11 games and in 14 of his last 16 games so I’m willing to pay the -160 for it tonight against the Sixers in a game where the Spurs will be desperate for offense.
Philly has the best three point defense in the league but Sochan isn’t going to be their top focus on defense which makes me think he will knock down a wide open three at some point.
LaMelo Ball Points Over (22.5)
He’s going up against the best defense in the league but he’s still going to get his shots up. The spread is -13.5 in this game as well so the TWolves likely won’t be playing with the full defensive intensity for the whole game here.
If you take out that one game where Ball got hurt early, he’s averaged 30 ppg over his last 9 which indicated plenty of value on over 22.5 at -110 odds.
He didn’t play on Saturday but he has been upgraded to probable for this game and he’s also probable to go over 22.5 points for us.
Blackhawks / Canucks Over (1.5)
The Canucks are the #1 ranked offensive team and have been the 2nd best team for 1st period overs going 30-16.
Vancouver has gone over 1.5 in the 1st in 4 of their last 5 games and they’ve covered the number themselves in 3 of those 4 games.
The Blackhawks have been the 8th best 1st period over team this season.
The Canucks and Blackhawks went over 1.5 in the 1st in their only head to head meeting this season.