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VIP Picks 1/7/24

4-1 massive day yesterday and a fun one! We had the easy 10 point +140 UNC “underdog to start the day, then we had what seemed to be a miraculous cover by Baylor in overtime after a very tightly contest game, then we hit the Nico Collins over 74.5 on the first fucking play the Texans ran with a 75 yard BOOOOOOMB, and closed the night out by hitting the teaser just when it felt like it was dead and going to miss by half a point the fucking punter ran out of the back of the endzone to cover. KOOOOOFSPORTS! On to today to close out a winning week and finish off the NFL regular season strong. We are targeting meaningful games and players to bet on today. Let’s get right into it. 


1:00 EST

Parlay

Jaguars ML / Cowboys ML (-125)

  • The Jags really tried to fuck up their playoff chances by losing 4 of their last 5 games but it's been a tough schedule.

  • Trevor Lawrence is supposed to be back today and they have a chance to make the playoffs with a win. They are also playing the Titans who have lost 4 of their last 5 including a 26-3 loss last week.

  • Then we are just throwing the Cowboys in here to get better odds from -166 to -125. The Cowboys are favored by two touchdowns and are playing for a chance to win their division so don't expect a let down vs the Commanders who are more focused on losing to help their draft position.


1:00 EST

Anytime TD

Mike Evans (-105)

  • The Bucs can clinch the NFC South with a win today so they will be going all out to win against the 2-14 Panthers.

  • I like the Bucs to cover in this game as well but not as much as I like ol reliable Big Mike Anytime TD for us.

  • He’s scored in 8 of his last 11 games.

  • He also had a monster game vs the Panthers in the first meeting where he had 7 catches, 162 yards, & a TD.


4:25 EST

Packers (-3)

  • A win and get in situation at home for the Packers today looks like a good bet despite the Bears actually playing good down the stretch.

  • The Packers won the first matchup 38-20.

  • QB Jordan Love can make a $500k bonus by making the playoffs with a win today so he should be motivated to play well.

  • The Bears are 2-6 on the road this season and the Packers have racked up 66 points in their last 2 games.

  • Let’s take Green Bay to cover and get in.


4:25 EST

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Over (59.5)

  • The Seahawks need to win to have a chance to make the playoffs today and Kenneth Walker III should be heavily involved in the game plan against the Cardinals who have the worst ranked run defense in the league allowing 143.5 rushing yards per game.

  • Check this one out - the Seahawks are 7-1 when Walker have 15+ carries and 1-5 in games where he has less than 15 carries.

  • He had 105 rushing yards against the Cardinals in the first meeting. 

  • Let’s take him to go over for us today.



8:20 EST

Bills (-3)

  • Sunday Night Football gives us an AFC East Championship game between the Bills and Dolphins and we are going Bills here.

  • The Dolphins are right up at the top of my list of pretenders especially after getting smoked 56-19 against the Ravens last week. Not even competitive. Just like the first time these two teams played when the Bills won 48-20.

  • Josh Allen threw for 320 yards and 4 touchdowns on this Dolphins defense and I expect him to tear them up again tonight.

  • The Bills have also been playing better over the last month than they were playing mid season and they can win the AFC East for the fourth straight year with a win tonight. Let’s take them to win and cover.

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