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VIP Picks 1/8/24

Happy Monday! We had ourselves a great week to start the year up +4.48 units! We have the College Football National Championship tonight and that’s going to be the focus for us. I’m doing things a little differently than normal for tonight giving you guys a few different options of things to bet on with things I like on the game. I’m not really interested in the NBA and NHL slate matchups tonight so let’s see what we’ve got. 


NCAAF:

7:30 EST

Michigan (-5)

  • Public is betting Washington tonight and that makes me like Michigan -4.5 even more.

  • It’s the best defense against the best offense, what else could we ask for as College Football fans?

  • I think Michigan’s defense will be able to get more stops than Washington’s defense.

  • I think a major factor will be Michigan having success running the ball vs this Washington defense. Blake Corum had 171 yards and 3 touchdowns vs Washington a couple years ago. It’s not the same defense but it does represent Big Ten run game vs Pac 12 defense. Simple as that.

  • Washington will be the best offense that Michigan has faced this season and I don’t expect Michigan to shut them down completely. We will have a better game tonight than we did in last Year’s Natty.

  • I think Michigan establishes the run early and often to manage the game and time of possession. I also trust their defense more down the stretch in this game. Key moments, key stops, field position, and ability to execute. I am checking off the boxes for Michigan and I think they will cover -4.5 tonight.


7:30 EST

Parlay

Michigan ML / Blake Corum TD (-145)

If you have College Football player props available on your sportsbook, Michigan moneyline + Blake Corum TD is a very solid option at -145 odds. 


7:30 EST

Michigan To Score Every Quarter (-105)

  • This one really comes down to I think Michigan will really have an advantage up front against the Washington defense. Whether they break big plays or sustain long drives, I like Michigan’s chances of scoring every quarter in this game.

  • I also think Michigan’s defense will help win the field position battle and maybe even set them up with good field position with a turnover or two.

  • This bet is for Michigan to score 1+ point in Every Quarter - that’s touchdown, field goal, or safety - ALL scoring counts, not just touchdowns! Make sure you bet the right thing if you play this one.


7:30 EST

Final Score

Michigan 31 Washington 20 (190-1 odds) - low risk fun one for the Natty


NBA:

10:00 EST

Player Prop

Kawhi Leonard Points Over (24.5)

  • Kawhi has had back to back off shooting nights scoring just 15 points last night but he still took plenty of shots.

  • He’s gone over 24.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games

  • He just scored 30 against the Suns in a high scoring game last Wednesday.

  • I’m projecting him to be in that 27-30 range again tonight especially with Durant playing for the Suns. Value on the over.

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