Happy Monday! We had ourselves a great week to start the year up +4.48 units! We have the College Football National Championship tonight and that’s going to be the focus for us. I’m doing things a little differently than normal for tonight giving you guys a few different options of things to bet on with things I like on the game. I’m not really interested in the NBA and NHL slate matchups tonight so let’s see what we’ve got.
NCAAF:
7:30 EST
Michigan (-5)
Public is betting Washington tonight and that makes me like Michigan -4.5 even more.
It’s the best defense against the best offense, what else could we ask for as College Football fans?
I think Michigan’s defense will be able to get more stops than Washington’s defense.
I think a major factor will be Michigan having success running the ball vs this Washington defense. Blake Corum had 171 yards and 3 touchdowns vs Washington a couple years ago. It’s not the same defense but it does represent Big Ten run game vs Pac 12 defense. Simple as that.
Washington will be the best offense that Michigan has faced this season and I don’t expect Michigan to shut them down completely. We will have a better game tonight than we did in last Year’s Natty.
I think Michigan establishes the run early and often to manage the game and time of possession. I also trust their defense more down the stretch in this game. Key moments, key stops, field position, and ability to execute. I am checking off the boxes for Michigan and I think they will cover -4.5 tonight.
7:30 EST
Parlay
Michigan ML / Blake Corum TD (-145)
If you have College Football player props available on your sportsbook, Michigan moneyline + Blake Corum TD is a very solid option at -145 odds.
7:30 EST
Michigan To Score Every Quarter (-105)
This one really comes down to I think Michigan will really have an advantage up front against the Washington defense. Whether they break big plays or sustain long drives, I like Michigan’s chances of scoring every quarter in this game.
I also think Michigan’s defense will help win the field position battle and maybe even set them up with good field position with a turnover or two.
This bet is for Michigan to score 1+ point in Every Quarter - that’s touchdown, field goal, or safety - ALL scoring counts, not just touchdowns! Make sure you bet the right thing if you play this one.
7:30 EST
Final Score
Michigan 31 Washington 20 (190-1 odds) - low risk fun one for the Natty
NBA:
10:00 EST
Player Prop
Kawhi Leonard Points Over (24.5)
Kawhi has had back to back off shooting nights scoring just 15 points last night but he still took plenty of shots.
He’s gone over 24.5 points in 7 of his last 10 games
He just scored 30 against the Suns in a high scoring game last Wednesday.
I’m projecting him to be in that 27-30 range again tonight especially with Durant playing for the Suns. Value on the over.