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VIP Picks 10/13/24


1:00 EST

Teaser 6 Point

Eagles (-2.5) / Ravens (-1) 4️⃣

  • Popular teaser of the day but I’m not going to back down for it.

  • The Eagles are coming off of a BYE week and get the host the Browns who have lost 4 of 5 and who have only scored 15.8 points per game. 

  • The Eagles are getting AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith back.

  • Eagles should cover -2.5 at home. 

  • The Ravens had another close one last week but they have reeled off 3 straight and this Washington defense is vulnerable vs good offenses (they allowed 37 to the Bucs & 33 to the Bengals). 

  • I trust the Ravens defense to get a few more stops.


1:00 EST

Bucs (-3.5) 🥈

  • After a 2-0 start to the season things are coming unraveled for the Saints who have lost 3 in a row and their starting QB to injury.

  • They will start rookie Spencer Rattler who is an ugly motherfucker for one and he’s going to turn the ball over for two, he threw at least 1 interception in 7 of his last 10 games in College.

  • The Bucs are 3-2 but very well could be 4-1. I like what they have going and Baker has looked good with 11 touchdowns to just 2 interceptions. Plus the Saints weakness is their pass defense. 

  • You can take an adjust -3 if that makes you feel safer but I think this Saints offense will struggle with the rookie making his debut. 


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Over (67.5) 🥇

  • Jacobs has hit on this line in 3 of his 5 games but he’s got a great matchup vs this Cardinals defense that has allowed 5 guys to cover this line in their last 3 games, for clarity that’s not a typo.

  • The Cardinals defense has allowed 147.8 rushing yards per game 

  • Jacobs ranks 4th in the league in rushing yards and 5th in the league in rushing attempts. 

  • There’s also wind in the forecast. 

  • Great matchup for him to go over here. 


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Tony Pollard Rushing Yards Over (63.5) 🥉

  • We took his prop in his last game at 51.5 and he went wayyyy over with 88.

  • He’s facing the Colts 2nd worst ranked run defense allowing 157 rushing yards per game.

  • Tank Bigsby ran for 101, Josh Jacobs ran for 151, & Joe Mixon ran for 159. 

  • Tony Pollard will go over 63.5 against them today. 


4:05 EST

Steelers (-3) 5️⃣

  • I can’t say it’s been pretty for the Steelers but I can say they were 2 field goals away from being 5-0.

  • I like their defense that ranks 2nd in points allowed per game and I also love their defense vs this Raiders team that is likely without their top 2 receivers and starting running back today. 

  • As for the Steelers offense, I think Najee Harris and Justin Fields can and will run all over this Raiders defense that ranks 22nd against the run. 

  • Let’s back the Steelers to cover. 


Anytime Touchdown Scorers (Ranked in order of confidence)

  • Mike Evans

  • Josh Jacobs

  • Isaiah Likely

  • CeeDee Lamb

  • Najee Harris

Parlay of all pays 51 to 1 odds


MLB:

8:15 EST

Dodgers (Flaherty) (-1.5) +136!

  • Dodgers will have Jack Flaherty on the mound in Game 1 and he’s held this Mets lineup to a .231 avg in 65 at bats.

  • The Dodgers have a limited amount of action against Mets starter Kodai Senga but Ohtani and Mookie are hitting 1000 against him combined. Plus Senga only lasted 2 innings last time out and this is just his 3rd start of the season.

  • The Mets bullpen isn’t great especially if Senga doesn’t go deep. This Dodgers lineup can really get going. 

  • The Dodgers have a lot of momentum going after those Game 4 and 5 wins vs the Padres. Plus they didn’t have to travel across the country for this game. 

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