Good to bounce back with a 2-1 winning day but it would have been a nice 3-0 night if it wasn’t for Framber Valdez fucking up left and right early or the Astros not being able to score with bases loaded and no outs.
Phillies (Nola) (-156)
Two thoughts - I’m not betting against Philly at home (5-0) in the playoffs and I’m hesitant to take the -1.5 against a DBacks team who lost their first game of the playoffs last night after running through two division winners like a hot knife through butter.
Merrill Kelly will start on the mound for the DBacks and this Philly lineup comes in hitting .288 against him. Kelly also hasn’t pitched in a game in 10 days which is off from the standard 5 day rotation during the regular season.
Aaron Nola will pitch for Philly and he’s 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in the playoffs. He’s held this DBacks lineup to a .255 avg in 55 at bats. He pitched 6.2 innings with 9 strikeouts in a win against the DBacks the only time he faced them this season.
Player Prop Hit Parlay
Trea Turner / Corbin Carroll (-105)
Turner has hit safely in all 7 playoff games and he’s recorded multiple hits in 5 of those 7 including 8 hits in his last 3.
He has great numbers against Merrill Kelly from his time with the Dodgers and comes in hitting .429 against him (9 for 21)
Corbin Carroll has hit safely in 5 of his 6 playoff games including Game 1 last night. He also puts the ball in play a lot with only 3 strikeouts in 21 playoff at bats.
He doesn’t have much history against Phillies pitcher Aaron Nola but he has put the ball in play in 5 of his 6 career at bats against him.
Avalanche / Kraken Under (6.5)
The Kraken have only scored 1 goal through their first 2 games and the Avs are coming off of a 2-1 game against the Sharks.
These teams went under 6.5 in 9 of their 10 games last year - 6 of 7 in the playoffs and 3 of 3 in the regular season.
Alexander Georgiev will be in net for the Avs who is 2-0 with a 1.45 goals against average
I’d expect Philipp Grubauer for the Kraken but he hasn’t been confirmed as the starter yet - he’s 0-2 with a 2.55 goals against average. I’d prefer to see him confirmed before locking in the bet.
If for some reason it’s Daccord in net then I will quickly shift to lock in Avalanche moneyline as quickly as possible.
I get my starting goalie info from Daily Faceoff so you can check there as the day goes on.