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VIP Picks 10/19/23

MLB Playoff straight plays improve to 16-6 and we cash ANOTHER underdog! We have also started the week with back to back to back winning days to start the week so let’s keep it going tonight. KOOOOFSPORTS!


MLB:

5:07 EST

Alt Run Totals

DBacks Over (2.5) / Astros Over (2.5) (-151)

  • The Dbacks have gone over 2.5 runs in 6 of their 7 playoff games and they should clear 2.5 runs for us again tonight.

  • They will be going up against Phillies starter Ranger Suarez who they come in hitting .270 against in a large sample size of 74 at bats.

  • They faced him twice this season and went over 2.5 runs in each of those games.

  • I think the DBacks will really come out playing with desperation to get a win in this game but they should absolutely go over 2.5 runs for us in this game tonight.

  • Then we have the Astros who are right back in the series after last night’s 8-5 win. The bats woke up and they should stay awake tonight.

  • They have faced Andrew Heaney twice this season and they ended up with 9 runs and 5 runs in those 2 games.

  • The Stros have also been better against lefties this season hitting .270 compared to .254 vs righties. They also have a higher slugging percentage .470 vs lefties than .423 vs righties.

  • This one seems like an easy one so let’s make it a strong play.

5:07 EST

Player Prop Hit Parlay

Trea Tuner Hit / Jose Abreu Hit (-114)

  • Trea Turner has hit safely in all 8 playoff games to this point and he’s even had multiple hit games in 5 of those 8 games. He’s never faced Pfaadt but this game projects to be a high scoring game based on the over under so look for offense and Turner should be part of it like he has been all throughout the playoffs.

  • Jose Abreu will be hitting behind Yordan in the lineup so if the Rangers do pitch around Yordan, Jose will be there to clean up. Jose has hit safely in 5 of his 7 playoff games and he’s coming in with 4 career homeruns against Rangers starter Andrew Heaney.

  • -114 pretty good value here.

NFL:

8:15 EST

Saints (-125)

  • I would be taking the Saints in this game even if Trevor Lawrence wasn’t injured but I like them even more with that news. He is going to play tonight but I think he will be less effective.

  • Another thing in this game is that the Jaguars have not had to deal with a TRUE road game environment yet this season. Sure they played back to back games in London but most of the people in the stands thought that they were going to a futbol game not a football game.

  • The weakness I expect the Saints to take advantage of against the Jags tonight is their pass defense. 2nd worst in the league and I could see Carr getting going at home against a weak pass defense despite missing two starting offensive linemen.

  • The Saints haven’t looked very good this season despite their one big win over a bad Patriots team but they are still right in the mix for the NFC South and this is a big game for them to get to 4-3.

  • Let’s take the Saints at home - WHO DAT WHO DAT WHO DAT SAY GON BEAT DEM SAINTS!?

NHL:

10:30 EST

Parlay

Avalanche ML / Bruins ML (-140)

  • The Avs will be at home tonight and they will host a Blackhawks team who isn’t a push over this season coming in at 2-2 but they just aren’t on the same level as the Avs.

  • The Avs come in at 3-0 with multi goal wins in 2 of those 3 games. The Avs come in ranked #3 in the league in goal differential so that goes to show they’ve been playing well through the first 3. The Blackhawks are at #20 in goal differential in this early season and another thing is that this will be the Blackhawks 5th road game in 5 games.

  • The Bruins are off to a 2-0 start and they should be plenty rested since they haven’t played since last Saturday. They kick off a West Coast trip tonight against a bad 0-2-1 Sharks team that has lost 2 of their 3 game by multiple goals.

  • Kaapo Kahkonen will be in net for the Sharks and he’s coming in with a 4.0 goals against average so the Bruins should be able to take advantage against him.

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