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VIP Picks 10/20/24


Straight plays 3-1 yesterday ✅ the long shot was close at 7-3. On to Sunday!


9:30 EST

Teaser

Patriots (+12) / Lions (+7)

  • 1-5 vs 1-5 but the worse team is on their second game in a row in London the Jags

  • Drake Maye made his debut last week and he actually looked pretty solid (against a team who already beat the Jags)

  • The Patriots have what it takes to keep this within 2 touchdowns.

  • The Lions take on the 5-0 Vikings but they are hot scoring 89 points in their last 2 games.

  • Although I expect both of these teams to win outright I’ll gladly take +12 and +7.


1:00 EST

Teaser 7 Point 

Bills (2.5) / Commanders (-2.5) 🥇

  • A more popular teaser features the 2 biggest favorites of the day. 

  • The Bills are hosting the Titans who are turning to QB Mason Rudolph who’s game log isn’t even available on ESPN. 

  • The Bills are 2-0 at home and the Titans have lost 4 of their last 5. 

  • The Commanders get to take on the Panthers who have lost 4 of their last 5 by 10+ points!

  • The Commanders lost to the Ravens last week do the will be looking to bounce back here. 


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Over (64.5) 🥈

  • This lines too low.

  • Mixon has run for 159 and 102 in 2 of his 3 games with 10+ carries

  • This Packers defense is allowing 110 rushing yards per game. 

  • The Texans are 5-1 and it seems like they will want to utilize the run game in a road game vs the 4-2 Packers today.


1:00 EST

Nick Chubb Rushing Yards Over (39.5) 4️⃣

  • REVENGE play, I want to get my money back from the game that Chubb destroyed his leg when he was well on his way to cover his player prop. 

  • Chub had 100+ vs Bengals in 6 of his last 9 vs them

  • His offensive line sucks but he should still get enough work to go over 39.5.

  • Heres a look back at the VIP Play from 9/18/23:



Anytime TD Scorers (ranked in order of confidence)


Saquon Barkley

George Kittle

Terry McLaurin

Cooper Kupp

Davante Adams


Parlay of all pays 45 to 1


*If early plays are looking good I will look to add more and we will definitely have a play in the MLB game tonight


ADDED 3:48 EST


4:25 EST

Same Game Parlay

Kelce 50+ Receiving Yards / Kittle 40+ Receiving Yards (-130)

  • Kelce has had back to back big games since Rice got hurt and he had 9 catches for 93 yards against the 49ers in the Super Bowl

  • Kittle has gone for 40+ in all 5 of his games this season 


MLB:

8:08 EST

Dodgers (Kopech) (-155)

  • I was shocked with the Mets blowing the Dodgers out in Game 5 but I’m even more confident in this series ending tonight in LA.

  • Sean Manaea is pitching for the Mets and he held the Dodgers to 3 runs in 5 innings but the Dodgers went 1 for 10 with runners in scoring position in that game. Their long term numbers against him are still good against him with 5 guys in the lineup who have taken him deep.

  • Michael Kopech gets the ball for the Dodgers and he used to be a starter but this is likely an opening spot from him for 1 or 2 innings but I’m fine with that with this Dodgers bullpen and their 2.94 ERA in the playoffs. 

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