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VIP Picks 10/23/23

2-3 Sunday but we had a winning week! The Lions really got worked and Tua came up short on the player prop parlay. The refs did everything in their power to fix the game for the Browns who took a late lead but missed the 2 point conversion to only win by 1. We did cash ANOTHER MLB Playoff underdog with the Rangers! Let’s kick off the new week with a winning night:


Cross Sport

5:07 EST

Phillies ML / 49ers ML (+103)

  • It was good run for the DBacks but it’s coming to an end tonight.

  • Merill Kelly will be on the mound for the DBacks and they lost 10-0 last time he was on the mound. The Phillies hit 3 homeruns off of him in that game.

  • Aaron Nola will take the mound for the Phillies and he’s only allowed 2 runs in 18.2 innings pitched in the playoffs so he’s locked in.

  • Phillies are 6-0 at home in the playoffs, the fans are crazy, & they will be rowdy tonight with a chance to get back to the World Series.

  • The 49ers are coming off of a joke of a loss but they should bounce back vs the Vikings tonight who come in 2-4 with their 2 wins coming vs a couple of the worst teams in the league.

  • The 49ers have a Top 10 pass defense so they will be tough on Kirk Cousins.

  • Mccaffrey is questionable & Deebo is out but I still think the 49ers will be a lot better on offense than they were last week.

  • There’s also that Kirk Cousing Prime Time trend where he just doesn’t win games.

  • Good value at +103 here.

MLB:

5:07 EST

Player Prop Hit Parlay

Trea Turner / Yordan Alvarez (-105)

  • Both of these guys come in with other worldly numbers against the starting pitchers so we are taking advantage of those matchups tonight.

  • Trea Turner comes in hitting .445 (10 for 22) ve Merrill Kelly & he’s hit safely in 10 of his 11 playoff games.

  • Yordan Alvarez comes in hitting .500 (4 for 8) vs Schzerzer & he’s had multi hit games in 5 of the 6 games in this series. He’s hit safely in 9 of his 10 playoff games. It’s always a risk that the Rangers could pitch around him intentionally or unintentionally but I’m comfortable taking our chances on him getting a hit.


8:03 EST

Astros (Javier) (-125)

  • Yeah, not going to bet against Javier. The guy has been lights out including his last time out against this Rangers lineup where he didn’t give up a hit until the 5th inning. He’s not 6-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his Postseason career.

  • Javier has held this Rangers lineup to a .231 avg in 143 at bats.

  • Scherzer takes the ball for the Rangers & the Astros jumped him for 5 runs in 4 innings in Game 3. The Stros have scored 12 runs in their last 7 innings against Scherzer & come in hitting .295 against him. I’ll be interested to see how long of a leash Scherzer has.

  • A home team has yet to win a game in this series but it’s really not the home field deciding, it’s the matchups. We’ve bet matchups all October and it’s worked out great for us. That’s what we are doing again tonight and the Astros have the better matchup. Go Stros!

  • It’s Game 7, there’s nothing better in sports. Enjoy and let's CASH!

A lot of you guys were like WTF didn’t you share the $2 for $647 parlay you hit KOF!? It was just a fun personal play and I don’t usually post the long shots like that because it’s rare to hit those. However, if you guys are all under the understanding that these types of plays are intended to be fun little $1 or $5 bets (or utilize FREE BETS you get) for a potential big return then I will post more of them going forward. They won’t count towards the overall VIP plays but I can list them as bonus plays or funzies. Might as well ride the momentum off of yesterday and post one for tonight:


FUNZIES


5:07 EST

SGP + SGP

  • Phillies (-1.5)

  • Trea Turner 2+ Total Bases

  • Kyle Schwarber To Hit a Homerun

  • Aaron Nola Strikeouts Over (5.5)

  • Astros (-1.5)

  • Yordan Alvarez To Hit a Homerun

  • Michael Brantley To Record a Hit

  • $2 to win $347

Analysis:

Phillies have gone 6-0 at home and covered the -1.5 in all 6 of those games. They beat Merrill Kelly 10-0 in Game 2. Trea Turner is coming off of his first hitless game of the playoffs but he gets to go against Merrill Kelly who he comes in hitting .455 against and took him deep in Game 2.Kyle Schwarber has hit 5 homeruns in 5 games in this series including a 2 homerun game in Game 2 which is the game Merrill Kelly started & Kelly is pitching again tonight. Aaron Nola has been dominant in the playoffs only allowing 2 runs in 18.2 innings and he’s had 7 & 9 strikeouts in his last 2 starts including the 7 vs this DBacks lineup in Game 2.


The Astros have a good matchup against Max Scherzer who they have scored 12 runs against in their last 7 innings vs him. Yordan Alvarez has 2 homeruns in this series but has been hitting balls hard throughout the series. He’s also 4 for 8 with a homerun vs Scherzer in his career. Michael Brantley has a lot of history and success in his head to head matchups vs Scherzer hitting .357 against him in 56 at bats. Brantley has gone hitless his last 2 full games in this series but he’s due for a hit tonight.


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