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VIP Picks 10/26/23

Ugh….missed by one shot with White and Wemby only had 4 shot attempts until 7 minutes left then reeled off 9 points in 3 minutes. Not sure why he wasn’t getting the ball more for the first three quarters. Then our cross sport parlay went down after the Devils came back from a 3-0 deficit but ended up losing. 3 straight losing days isn’t the way we planned the start to the week but all we can do is take a look at some high percentage plays for tonight. Thankfully we’ve been tearing it up on Thursday Night the last few weeks.


Cross Sport:

7:00 EST

Parlay

Bruins ML / Bills ML (-167) - 💣BOMB💣 -

  • Betting bigger isn’t always the best solution to get out of a hole on the week but matchups and opportunities like this don’t always present themselves like this.

  • The Bruins come in a perfect 6-0 and will return home to the TD Garden where they were historically good last year 34-4 in regulation. They will host the 2-4 Ducks who they just beat 3-1 on Sunday Night even though they went 0-5 on the Power Play. It will be an even bigger win tonight if the Ducks give them that many Power Play chances again. The Bruins should be in control of this game from start to finish.

  • The Bills are in a classic bounce back spot after losing to the 1-5 Patriots, they will return home where they are 3-0 this season with 2 of those 3 wins coming by 28 points each.

  • The Bucs have lost 3 of their last 4 and their starting QB is questionable but is likely going to play but he’s dealing with a knee injury.

  • Both defenses have been Top 10 as far as points allowed per game so it could be a defensive battle tonight but I think the Bills will be able to have success through the air since TB ranks 27th vs the pass and that will be the difference in this game.


NHL:

7:00 EST

Avalanche (-148)

  • The 6-0 Avalanche will continue their road trip against the 2-4 Penguins tonight and I’m surprised their not bigger favorites with how the Penguins have been playing.

  • Alexandar Georgiev will be in net for the Avs and he’s holding strong with a 1.98 GA/G. They will win a lot of games with him playing like that in net and their #2 ranked offense averaging 4.5 goals per game.

  • Tristan Jarry is likely in net for the Penguins and he’s allowed 8 goals in his last 2 games so this Avalanche offense should be able to score on him following the 13 goals they’ve scored over their last 2 games.

  • Let’s go Avs!


NBA:

7:30 EST

Player Prop Parlay (Alt Lines)

Giannis 20+ Points / Maxey 15+ Points / Durant 20+ Points / LeBron 15+ Points / Davis 20+ Points (+117)

  • DK won’t offer these lines but Fanduel will and this is good value at -114 while increasing the likelihood of winning.

  • Giannis averaged 31.1 last season and went for 20+ in all 3 games against the Sixers last season

  • Maxey averaged 20.3 last season and had 29, 26, & 24 in his last 3 against the Bucks. Plus Sixers #2 scorer James Harden is OUT tonight so they should open the door for Maxey to get more shots.

  • Durant only had 18 on Tuesday but he didn’t score a single basket in the final 10 minutes of the game. Booker and Beal are doubtful for tonight’s game so I expect KD to go off.

  • LeBron had 21 in the opener and one thing to watch with him this season is the minute restrictions in place to keep him healthy. I still think 15+ should be a lock just about every night for him especially in the home opener.

  • AD only had 17 in the opener but he also went just 6 for 17 from the field. He averaged 25.6 last season so I’d expect him to be closer to that number night in and night out this season including tonight vs the Suns.


NFL:

8:20 EST

Player Prop

Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Over (85.5)

  • Diggs has gone over 100 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games & he’s also had double digit targets in 4 of his last 5 games.

  • The Bucs are 27th against the pass this season so the Bills should be able to take advantage of that matchup tonight.

  • TB allowed St Brown to go for 124 and AJ Brown to go for 131 in recent weeks.

  • It’s also a bounce back spot for the Bills after losing on the road to the 1-5 Pats on Sunday they come back on a short week as big favorites at home.

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