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VIP Picks 10/28/24

Ravens oh Ravens….multiple chances to win but just found a way to fuck up the JACKHAMMER. They let us down. We’ve got the sports equinox today with all 4 major sports in play so there are no excuses to not start the week on a huge note!


Cross Sport:

7:30 EST

Parlay

Celtics ML / Steelers ML (-149) 💪 🥇

  • The Celtics are 3-0 on the season and Saturday’s close game was actually helpful for them to have to actually play the starters late in the game. They’ve had 35, 32, and 23 point leads in their 3 games. 

  • The Bucks are on the second night of a back to back and have also lost back to back games by double digits to teams wayyyy worse than the Celtics.

  • The Celtics are favored by 10 tonight and they should find a way to win straight up at home even if the Bucks bring their A+ game.

  • The 5-2 Steelers are home and hosing the 2-5 Giants. Russell Wilson led the Steelers to a 37-15 win over the Jets in his first game as starter. 

  • Mike Tomlin is 20-3 (10-0 at home) on Monday Night Football.

  • Daniel Jones is 1-14 in Primetime Games. 

  • Let’s GOOOOOOOO!


MLB:

8:08 EST

Team Total

Dodgers Over (3.5) 🥉

  • The Dodgers have gone over 3.5 runs in each of the first 2 games in this series and they averaged almost 2 more runs per game all season long at 5.27.

  • Obviously it’s the World Series and Fall temps in New York tonight with game time temps of 57 degrees but it’s also a short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium for this Dodgers lineup that features so much power from the left side of the plate with Freeman, Muncy, and Ohtani is reported to be playing.

  • Clarke Schmidt is pitching for the Yankees and on top of being a mediocre 5-5 on the season, he’s got a 5.63 career ERA in the Postseason, and of the outs he recorded in the regular season 59% were fly balls so I’m confident in the Dodgers getting a couple two tree balls to leave the yard against him tonight. 

  • I’d take the combined over if the Yankees had more than 1 hit before the 9th inning in Game 2 and Walker Buehler is kind of a wild card right now after his last start which he looked dominant in. 

  • It doesn’t feel like the Yankees should be favored as heavily as they are but I’ll settle for the Dodgers run line at 3.5 instead of the moneyline at +124.


NFL:

8:15 EST

Player Prop

Najee Harris Rushing Yards Over (62.5) 🥈

  • The Giants defense comes in ranked 23rd against the run and allowing 138.1 rushing yards per game.

  • Najee Harris has had back to back 100+ rushing yard games and he should be in position to have another big game tonight.

  • The key number here is 15 carries, he’s gone over 62.5 rushing yards in ALL 5 games when he has 15+ carries. 100% trend when he gets 15 rushing attempts, his prop line for rushing attempts is 15.5. I like the value on his over tonight.

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