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VIP Picks 10/6/24

Well 3-2 but the hammer lost yesterday so that was a let down. We are NOT tucking our tails today though because we’ve got an early game to kick off NFL Sunday!


9:30 EST

Player Prop

Mike Williams Over (2.5) Receptions 6️⃣

  • Williams has gone over in back to back games with 4 and 3 despite last weeks weather factor where the Jets couldn’t even score a touchdown.

  • He’s been targeted 9 times over the last 2 games.

  • The Vikings rank last in the league against the pass so I expect the Jets offense to be throwing on them. 

  • This is +110 so we will gladly take that with our breakfast for the early game. 


1:00 EST

Ravens (-135) 🥉

  • I just assume take moneyline with the spread under 3. 

  • The Ravend have reeled off back to back impressive wins vs the Bills and Cowboys and don’t forget they were a toe in bounds away from beating the Chiefs on opening night.

  • The Bengals finally got a win last week but they still let the Panthers hang around for a while. 

  • Lamar Jackson is 8-2 vs the Bengals in his career. 

  • The Bengals 25th ranked run defense will have a hard time slowing down Derrick Henry today.

  • Let’s take the Ravens today.


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Over (83.5) 🥈

  • Henry has had 199 and 151 rushing yards in his last 2 games with 24 and 25 rushing attempts in those games.

  • He’s facing the Bengals 25th ranked run defense that has allowed 145.5 rushing yards per game.


1:00 EST

Commanders (-3) 5️⃣

  • 3-1 and back to back road wins with 80 total points has the Commanders looking LEGIT

  • They return home to host the 1-3 Browns who have only averaged 16.5 ppg 

  • The Browns have only faced one good offense so far this season and they allowed 33 points.

  • Let’s buy in on the Jayden Daniels hype train again this week to cover -3 at home. 


1:00 EST

Bills (+1) 4️⃣

  • So the Bills got punched in the mouth by the Ravens last week but they have been flawless in their other 3 games.

  • The Texans have snuck by the Colts, Bears, & Jags & got blown out by the Vikings. 

  • There’s beef between Josh Allen & Stefon Diggs with some comments since the break up and I expect Allen to want to get his receivers big games to prove he doesn’t need Diggs. 

  • I also trust the Bills defense more and they rank 2nd in turnover margin. 

  • Let’s go Bills!


4:25 EST

Player Prop

Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Over (66.5) 🥇

  • Last time we took his prop he covered it in the 1st quarter for us!

  • He’s got a great matchup today against the Rams defense that currently ranks dead last in the league and has allowed 165.5 rushing yards per game. 

  • The Packers are likely without 2 starting WR in this game so the game plan should feature Jacobs vs this horrible run defense of the Rams.


Anytime TD Scorers (ranked in order of confidence)

Derrick Henry

Kenneth Walker III

CeeDee Lamb

Josh Jacobs

Stefon Diggs 

Deebo Samuel


Parlay of all pays 39 to 1 odds


MLB:

4:05 EST

Hit Parlay

Bryce Harper (Phi) / Fernando Tatis Jr (SD) (-114)

  • Bryce Harper comes in hitting .400 (2 for 5) w 2 homeruns vs Mets starter Luis Severino. 

  • Harper went 1 for 2 with 2 walks yesterday. 

  • Fernando Tatis Jr comes in hitting .625 (5 for 8) vs Dodgers starter Jack Flaherty. 

  • Tatis Jr went 2 for 4 last night. 

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