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VIP Picks 11/12/23



NFL:

9:30 EST

Player Prop

Rhamondre Stevenson Rushing Yards Over (47.5)

  • I never thought the menu for brunch in Germany would be so tough to choose from but what a stinker of a game this is between the 4-5 Colts & 2-7 Patriots.

  • The Colts run defense has allowed 125.6 rushing yards per game so the Patriots should be able to run the ball.

  • Rhamondre covered this number on one run last week with a 64 yard touchdown.

  • I won’t touch the spread or over under in this game but I feel like Rhamondre for 50 should be solid vs this weak Colts run defense. 


1:00 EST

49ers (-3)

  • The 49ers are on a 3 game losing streak and are a West Coast team playing a 1 pm game on the East Coast so they have no chance right? Wrong!

  • The 49ers still have the #4 ranked defense in ppg & they are adding edge rusher former #2 overall pick Chase Young to the mix. Heads up Trevor, Bosa and Young coming at you! 

  • The Jaguars have been great against the run on defense but they are banged up in the secondary so look for Purdy to make some plays through the air. It’ll be key for him to avoid the turnovers he’s forced the last 3 games.

  • I’m expecting the 49ers to have a strong bounce back game coming off of their BYE week.


1:00 EST

Steelers (-3)

  • The Packers come to town and they might have beat up on the Rams with a backup QB last week but their season is still slowly sinking and they are 1-4 in their last 5.

  • GB also has 4 defensive starters who are in question to play today.

  • The Steelers are 3-1 over the last month and have been looking good. Their defense leads the way and the offense has been good enough. 

  • The Packers have been held to 20 or less points in 6 straight games so I expect that to continue today and the Steelers should be able to score enough to cover -3. 



4:25 EST

Player Prop

Kenneth Walker III Rushing Yards Over (62.5)

  • Walker went under this number last week but it’s tough to get rushing stats in games when your team loses 37-3.

  • He went for 62+ rushing yards in 6 of 7 games before that.

  • He will be going up against the Commanders defense that has allowed 116.2 rushing yards per game.

  • The Seahawks should look to establish the run today and a good stat there is that they are 4-1 in games where Walker gets 13+ carries and 1-2 in games where he gets less with those losses coming by 3 scores or more.


8:20 EST

Player Prop

Breece Hall Rushing Yards Over (65.5)

  • This is a great matchup for Hall going up against the Raiders defense that ranks 2nd worst in the league allowing 138.7 rushing yards per game

  • Hall had a 177 yard game vs the worst rushing defense in the league a few week ago so he’s more than capable of doubling this number tonight

  • The Raiders were smoking stogies in the locker room at 4-5 last week so I circled this game to bet against them in some shape or form when I saw that shit. 

  • Let’s go Breece!


Anytime TD Parlay

  • Christian McCaffrey

  • Alvin Kamara

  • Austin Ekeler

  • Kenneth Walker III

  • Breece Hall

(+2407)

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