1-1 againnnnnn I’m boring this week. Let’s spark some energy with a big Friday night!
NBA:
7:00 EST
Player Prop
Joel Embiid Points Over (23.5) 🥈
This line is too low for Embiid even though he went 2 for 11 shooting in his first game back.
Embiid has averaged 30+ for the last 3 seasons and he’s going to go over 23.5 vs the Magic tonight. He’s expected to play 25-30 min which is less than his 33 minutes average during those seasons but not far off. He's gone over 23.5 in 12 of his last 15 games with less than 32 minutes played.
Embiid had 36 and 32 vs the Magic last season.
The Magic are going to be without their starting center Wendell Carter tonight so Embiid has a nice matchup in front of him for an NBA In Season Tournament game where the league will want the former MVP to shine. Maxey is out as well which is more offense for Embiid.
CFB:
9:00 EST
Teaser 6 Pt
UCLA / Washington Over (40.5) / Houston / Arizona Over (40.5) 🥇
College Football teased overs on a Friday Night seems like fun.
UCLA has gone over 40.5 in 2 of their last 3 games and Washington has gone over 40.5 in 5 straight games. Both teams have shown the ability to score and allow 20+ consistently this season.
Houston is going up against Arizona who has been giving points out like Halloween candy lately, they’ve allowed 56, 31, 34, 41, 28, & 31.
A common theme in these games with high point totals allowed is Arizona’s inability to stop the run allowing 308 rushing yards and 203 rushing yards in their last 2 games. Houston has a strong running game and I expect them to be able to take advantage in this match up
Arizona’s offense has really been up and down all season long but seeing them as slight favorites in this game makes me confident in their offense going into this matchup.
Cross Sport:
10:00 EST
Parlay
Warriors ML / Jake Paul ML (-111) 🥉
The Warriors are hot right now at 9-2 and Curry is doing Curry things scoring 37 and 36 in his last 2 games. The supporting cast around him is playing well and Buddy Hield as the number 2 is just fine with Klay Thompson off to Dallas.
The Grizzlies are banged up and Ja Morant is out for this game so I like the Warriors at home to win.
As for the fight it’s a weird spot to bet but I want Tyson to win for the entertainment and value but the reality is that Jake Paul is much younger and in better shape. Tyson is a crazy motherfucker and I wouldn’t put it past him to find a way to win this fight but I’m putting my money on Paul parlayed with the Warriors for -111 odds.