Can’t predict injuries, especially when they are existing and a critical player like a QB isn’t listed on the injury report…SKETCHY. Look into that story if you haven’t seen it circulating yet. Bunch of fucking bullshit! Andrews was well on his way to 58.5 yards with 23 in the first 5 minutes before getting injured. On the bright side, we crushed another NBA Player Prop with Lonnie Walker over 9.5 and he went off for 23. We also hit the same game parlay of Lamar and Mixon. My apologies to the Draftkings bettors on that one…astonishing how Fanduel can offer -141 while Draftkings is offering -275. Also ESPN wasn’t allowing the same game teaser, their app has been kind of funky the first week. So if anything, I hope some of you actually didn’t even bet it lol. Up 9.28 units the last week so let’s ROLL into the weekend boys!
*Only lock in if Giannis is playing for MIL
Bucks ML / Celtics ML (-161)
This line was -123 this morning and now it's -161 so I think that's a telling sign about the status of the guys who are listed as game time decisions.
The Bucks have had some weird early season losses but they’ve put together back to back good wins. They are also playing a bad Hornets team tonight that has allowed 124, 132, 117, and 129 points in recent games. Giannis didn’t play on Wednesday so his sore calf should be rested for tonight’s in season tourney game.
The Celtics also have a couple key pieces who are questionable with Porzingis and Brown. Porzingis is the more questionable one in my opinion with his knee but Jaylen is getting over a “sickness.” Both of their prop lines are posted so I expect them to play.
The Celtics beat the Sixers without both of them on Wednesday so they should be able to take care of business against the Raptors who they beat 117-94 in the first meeting. The Raptors are also dealing with some injuries of their own including one of their top scorers OG Anunoby who is doubtful with a finger injury.
Bilal Coulibaly Points Over (7.5)
Here we go with another guy who’s line seems low tonight based on how he’s been playing.
Coulibaly has gone over 7.5 in 7 of his last 10 games but he’s had 10, 10, 20, 10, 5, & 10 averaging 11 ppg over his last 6.
He’s been efficient during that stretch hitting his shots at 61%
He will be facing the Knicks tonight who we have seen some lower scoring games from this season but the over under is set at 227.5 so we should see plenty of points in this one.
Franz Wagner Rebounds Over (4.5)
He went under in his last game which was against the same team that he will play tonight but I’m focusing on the rebounding opportunities in that game with a 96-94 final score and both teams shooting below 40% from the field. Both teams rank in th bottom 5 of the league in field goal percentage this season.
Wagner has gone over 4.5 rebounds in 4 of his last 5 and he averaged 2 rebounds above this line in the 4 games prior to his last time out with 8, 7, 6, & 5.
He’s averaged 5.6 rebounds per game on the season and he should have plenty of opportunities tonight.
Suns ML / Lakers ML (-116)
The Suns are coming off of a great win putting up 133 points against the league’s best defense.
They will be on the road taking on the Jazz who they blew out in the first meeting 126-104.
The Suns have Booker and Beal as game time decisions but neither of them played in that first meeting so I’m good with it either way.
Then we have the Lakers who have just about everyone listed as game time decisions but they should play since it’s one of the highly promoted in season tournament games.
LA’s 1-5 road record is kind of scary but they are facing the Blazers who have lost 5 straight and have been one of the worst teams in the league.
**if you’re in the mood to take a chance on one you could roll both NBA 2 team parlays into a 4 teamer to get +242 odds
Colorado Over (26.5)
DK has this one at 26.5 while FD has it at 27.5. I prefer the 26.5 just because 27 is an obvious football scoring number but I hope the 1 point doesn’t come into play for those of you who bet on FD.
Colorado has averaged 30.7 ppg this season. We’ve seen some really high scoring games from them but we’ve also seen them held down by good defenses.
They are not playing against a good defense tonight, they are going up against Washington St who has allowed 42, 38, 38, 44, & 35 in recent games.
The Washington St defense ranks 108 against the pass so Shedeur Sanders should be able to lead the Bufs to quick scoring drives and big plays in this game.
If you can’t play the team total then you can settle for Colorado +4 but I like the team total way more than the spread.
Weather looks dry and calm in Washington so we are good there.