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VIP Picks 11/21/23

You knew a losing night was coming when the November bragging rights started yesterday after the huge week we had! We miss the Kelce Swift parlay by 6 yards, the Celtics cost us the NBA parlay after blowing an 11 point lead in the final 6 minutes, and the Canucks only won by 1. BILAL was the 1 winner on the night and he came through with the win in the first half for us. On to Tuesday, let’s get back to winning!


NBA:

7:00 EST

Player Prop

Dejounte Murray Threes Made Over (1.5)

  • The Hawks and Pacers have an over under of 252 tonight, that’s a massive number so we have to jump on a player prop in that game which doesn’t seem like the player prop line has the inflation to match the over under….aka value for us

  • Murray has gone over 1.5 three pointers made in 7 of his last 10 games (70% trend)

  • He’s gone over 1.5 threes made in 5 of his last 7 (71%) games where the Hawks have scored 115+. Their team total is at 127.5 for tonight so I’m confident they will do a lot of scoring vs the Pacers 3rd worst defense. 

  • Murray is averaging 2.9 threes per game in November so there’s a good chance he doubles the line tonight.


7:30 EST

Parlay

Sixers ML / Suns ML / Lakers ML (-103)

  • Weird stuff happened last night but we are back with another favorite parlay at -103

  • The Sixers will host the Cavs who will be without thor top scorer Donovan Mitchell and maybe their 3rd best scorer Caris LeVert. That will make it tough for the Cavs to keep up with the Sixers who have scored 120+ in 4 of their last 5 games.

  • The Suns should not have any problems beating the 3-10 Blazers who come in on a 7 game losing streak.

  • The Lakers will host the Jazz and are 6-1 at home. LeBron and AD are questionable but it’s an in season tourney game tonight so expect them to play. The Jazz haven’t been playing much defense allowing 140, 131, 121, & 134 in 4 of their last 5 games. 


CFB:

7:00 EST

Bowling Green (-2.5)

  • Bowling Green will be on the road and looking to improve their Bowl resume getting their 7th win which will be the most for the program since 10 in 2015.

  • Western Michigan will be playing their final game of the season no matter what tonight since they already lost bowl eligibility at 4-7 and it looked like they checked out for the year last week in a 24-0 loss to NIU.

  • Bowling Green sits at 6-5 but they only lost by 10 to undefeated Liberty, they had to play #2 Michigan, and they only lost by 1 to the top Mac team Toledo last week.They are 4-1 vs their last 5 MAC opponents while W Mich is just 2-4 vs their last 6 MAC opponents. 

  • Bowling Green plays good defense and has held opponents to less than 20 points in 3 of their last 4 conference wins. I like that to be a key piece tonight going up against a W Mich team that seems to be lacking motivation.

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