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VIP Picks 11/21/24

Alright we didn't get our 7-0 start to the week we were looking for because the Zags missed a few threes and their team total but 6-1 is still pretty fucking good! We roll into tonight with Thursday Night Football and one NBA play. 9-1 start to the week!? Yes please!


NFL:

8:15 EST

Steelers (-3) 🥈

  • Same thing as last Thursday, taking the better team on the adjusted line to be safe even though I don’t think it will come into play.

  • Steelers are 8-2 and coming off a win over the Ravens who I think will win the Super Bowl and the Browns are 2-8.

  • Jameis has had some huge games for the Browns but the Steelers pass defense has been solid. Despite throwin for 395 yards last week, the Browns still only scored 14 points.

  • The Steelers favorable spot in this matchup is Najee Harris up against the Browns 24th ranked run defense. There’s also a winter weather advisory in Cleveland tonight where the hourly forecast shows rain but the Winter Weather Advisory states 3-5 inches of lake effect snow possible between 3pm to midnight. 

  • Road divisional games on the road are crazy especially on short weeks but let’s roll with the 8-2 Steelers to cover -3 vs the 2-8 Browns tonight.

8:15 EST

Player Prop

Najee Harris Over (72.5) 🥇

  • I’d probably be taking the over on this number in this matchup in perfect conditions but the winter weather advisory on Cleveland for 3-midnight has me absolutely loving Najee’s number for tonight.

  • He’s had 100+ in 3 of his last 5 games and there is potential for 3-5 inches of lake effect snow in Cleveland. 

  • The Browns are allowing 131.7 rushing yards per game.


NBA:

8:00 EST

Spurs (-145) 🥉

  • The Spurs are coming off of a nice win against the Thunder and they will be hosting the Jazz who have gone 3-11 on the season but I will call out 1 of their wins was against the Spurs.

  • I still like the way the Spurs are playing right now winners in 3 of their last 5 but also a battle against the Lakers that they ended up losing. 

  • The Spurs are riding a 3 game losing streak on their current road trip and this is the final game of the road trip so an easy let down spot for them.

  • The Spurs have been good at home 6-3 and I like them to get the win for us tonight, I’m just taking moneyline instead of spread to increase our chances, I don’t want to worry about points.

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