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VIP Picks 11/25/23

5-0! 5-0! 5-0! Technically 4-0 yesterday with the Turkey leg 3 unit carrying over but we are absolutely on fire 7-2 the last 2 days with 1 of the losses being a long shot TD parlay. 14-3 since Monday so let’s keep it going today! Just because we are up don’t get greedy betting games across the board, continue to be selective and keep raking this week!


CFB:

12:00 EST

Ohio State / Michigan Over (46.5)

  • Surprise muthafuckas! 75% of the bets and money are on the under but we are fading the public because these teams have gone over 46.5 11 straight years with point totals of - 45-23, 42-27, 56-27, & 62-39 in recent years. 

  • I know both defenses have been #1 & #2 this season but they’ve both played a pretty weak schedule to this point. They were both Top 6 defenses going into last years’ matchup and there were 68 points scored.

  • The same can be said for the offense averaging 38 & 33 but I think we will find a middle ground when these two square off today.

  • 31-28, 27-24? Something like that seems reasonable and gets the job done. 

  • Again this is going to be the biggest betting game of the weekend so it seems like a great spot to fade the public. 


12:00 EST

Teaser

LSU / TAM Over (59.5) / Alabama (-6)

  • LSU has the top ranked offense in the Nation averaging 44.3 ppg

  • TA&M allowed 38 to Ole Miss a few weeks ago and 48 to Miami earlier this season so there’s no doubt LSU will put up plenty of points

  • TA&M comes in averaging 34 ppg & LSU’s defense has been far from a shut down defense - they allowed 42 to Bama and 55 to Ole Miss as a few examples of weak ass defense.

  • Then we are on to The Iron Bowl and Bama who have made a strong push winning 9 in a row and they’ve won by 6+ in 8 of those 9 wins with some coming against better teams than Auburn.

  • Auburn lost by 7+ in all 3 games vs ranked opponents this season & lost 31-10 to New Mexico St last week lol

  • Other ranked SEC teams have had success against Auburn with balanced offenses and that’s something I expect to continue with Bama today establishing the strong running game and then Milroe taking shots down the field when they open up.

  • Don’t overlook how well Bama’s defense has been playing too which I’m extremely confident in after seeing Auburn get held to 10 points by New Mexico St last week. ROLL TIDE!


12:00 EST

Parlay

LSU ML / Alabama ML / Washington ML / Georgia ML (-143)

  • Weekly double digit moneyline parlay is in and here we go. -143

  • It might get weird cheering for LSU to win in the same game we took a ton of points in the teaser above but I just feel like LSU will win in a very high scoring game at home where they are 6-0. Jayden Daniels for a ton of points and the win, book it.

  • Bama is playing in the Iron Bowl against Auburn who lost 31-10 to New Mexico State last week. I have a hard time imagining a world where Bama loses to Auburn today who is 0-3 against ranked opponents this season. 

  • Washington has played their way up into the Top 4 so don’t expect them to let go of that by losing to Washington St who have lost 6 of their last 6.

  • Georgia isn’t going to spoil the perfect season against Georgia Tech who comes in 6-5. I’ve give some credit to tech for beating 2 ranked opponents but 1 of them was the most fixed game I’ve ever seen in my life when Miami didn’t just take a knee to end the game. I don’t see the Dawgs losing this one.


NHL:

10:00 EST

Parlay

Golden Knights ML / Canucks ML (-108)

  • What do I say? Take the free money when you can get it.

  • The Golden Knights return home from a 5 game road trip and they are 8-1-1 at home on the season and they will host the Coyotes who have lost 4 of their last 5. Vegas outscored Arizona 9-3 at home last season going 2-0 in those games.

  • The Canucks continue to play great hockey and come in 14-6-1. They are going to face the worst team in the league the Sharks who are 3-15-2. The Canucks are already 2-0 against the Sharks this season outsourcing them 10-1 and 3-1. They should win tonight.

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