1-2 Monday kinda sucked…I was shocked Likely didn’t get a single target in the game, Mark Andrews was 5 for 5 so I guess we took the wrong tight end. I still liked the play going in because Likely had big games with Andrews playing before and the Ravens had run two tight end sets frequently. It was Likely a solid play going in but the results weren’t what we expected. On to Tuesday and it looks like we have some good opportunities tonight!
NBA:
7:30 EST
Team Total
Bucks Over (110.5) 🥈
The Bucks have started to play ball since Doc Rivers claimed he would start taking coaching seriously…I don’t know what to make of it but they are on a 6-1 run. They have gone over 110.5 in 5 of their last 6 games as well with point totals of 127, 114, 122, 129, & 125.
Looking back to last season against the Heat, the Bucks scored 122 & 131 against them.
Miami hasn’t been clamping down defensively by any means and 7 of their last 9 opponents have gone over 110.5.
Giannis is probable and Lillard has had back to back big games.
10:00 EST
Player Prop
Kevin Durant Points Over (22.5) 🥇
Kevin Durant will return from his calf injury that has kept him on the sideline since 11/8. The Suns have gone 1-6 since then so they will be happy to have him back.
I can’t find any sort of report about KD being limited tonight which I was suspicious about when I saw his number at 22.5 so I’ll gladly take the over here but I will continue to watch for reports about his minutes as the day goes on.
He’s facing the Lakers in an in season tournament game on TNT tonight and he has scored 30 points TWICE against the Lakers already THIS season. Booker and Beal played in both of those games as well.
KD has averaged 27.6 ppg this season and has gone over 22.5 in 7 of 9 games.
CBB:
9:00 EST
Team Total
Kansas Over (73.5) 🥉
#1 Kansas listed as underdogs vs #11 Duke tonight in a game being played at a neutral site in Vegas.
Kansas comes in averaging 83.6 ppg so averaging 10 more ppg than their team total line is set for tonight. Kansas put up 92 points vs #9 North Carolina on 11/18.
Duke is 4-1 and allowed 77 points against Kentucky who is now ranked in the Top 10.
I’m expecting offense from both sides in this game but I really like targeting the Kansas team total which is lower because they are underdogs in this game. They should cover this number whether they win or lose this game.