LFG 4-0 Saturday on straight plays and 19-3 last 22. Some would call it red fucking hot! Let’s keep going today!
1:00 EST
Parlay
Bills ML / Ravens ML / Eagles ML (+113) 🥇
Josh Allen and the Bills are on a dominant stretch vs the Dolphins winning 9 of 10 vs the Dolphins in the Tua Era. The Bills beat them 31-10 IN Miami earlier this season. Today is in Buffalo.
The Ravens let bettors around the world down last week But they come back at home vs the Broncos this week who simply aren’t as good as their record indicates because they’ve benefited from a soft schedule.
The Eagles are sitting at 5-2 and will host the 2-6 Jags. The Jags 2nd worst pass defense has me liking Eagles to take advantage of that.
1:00 EST
Player Prop
AJ Brown Receiving Yards Over (83.5) 🥈
He’s gone over this number in every game he’s played this season with 119, 116, 89, & 84. He’s also scored a TD in 3 of his 4 games.
The Jaguars have the 2nd worst pass defense in the league allowing 271 yards per game. Nico Collins dropped 151 on them and Tyreek Hill dropped 130 on them.
I believe Brown is in for a BIG day in this matchup.
1:00 EST
Teaser 6 Point
Patriots (+9) / Cowboys (+9.5) 5️⃣
I prefer not betting games with two bad teams but Pats/Titans is exactly that. I’ll take the bad team with the young QB 3rd overall pick who has shown flashes to keep this game within 9 points and probably win outright.
Cowboys continue to lose and Dak continues to talk. They need to be better on both sides of the ball and I believe they will be. A little momentum coming from the late push vs the 49ers last week. Same situation here as the first leg, +9.5 is a nice cushion.
1:00 EST
Player Prop
Josh Allen Passing Yards Over (246.5) 4️⃣
So take away the last game vs the Dolphins where it was over by halftime and Josh Allen has thrown for over 246.5 in 6 straight games against the Dolphins. He dominates them.
If you look at the Dolphins numbers against the pass on paper the averages look good but any defense can slow down people like Brissett and Rudolph but Kyler just threw for 300+ on them last week and Geno had 289 against them.
Allen is coming off of his most passing attempts in a game this season (34) last week so he should be looking to throw it a lot today.
Weatherchannel.com says 8 mph wind at kickoff and throughout the game. Buffalo can always get wind gusts stronger than that though so that’s one thing we are watching out for.
1:00 EST
Alvin Kamara Rushing Yards Over (71.5) 🥉
Kamara gets to go up against the worst run defense in the league today the Panthers who have allowed 154.6 rushing yards per game!
Derek Carr is coming back at QB for the Saints but Kamara was actually better in the games Carr played because their was a dual threat in the offense - 83, 115, 87, & 77 in the full games that Carr played.
4:25 EST
Lions (-2.5) 6️⃣
The Packers will have QB Jordan Love back but he’s still battling a groin injury.
I think the difference in this game will be the Lions offense and ability to shift it into another gear. They’ve scored 52, 31, 47, & 42 in their last 4 games.
The strength of schedule for both these teams isn’t strong by any means but I feel like the Lions have looked better to this point.
Josh Jacobs has been a huge part of the Packers offense and he’s battling an ankle injury which is also a key factor.
Let’s take the Lions.
Anytime TD Scorers (listed in order of confidence)
AJ Brown
Alvin Kamara
James Cook
Parlay of all three pays +444
My intentions of a lower TD Scorer Parlay is to cap off a historic week