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VIP Picks 11/6/23

I can't believe the Chiefs scored 21 in the first half and couldn't score a single touchdown in the second half yesterday. I also can't believe Josh Allen let us down and didn't throw for 2 touchdowns. The teaser was spot on and the parlay came through as well and I know a few of you guys bet big on those so that's good. We also hit the Same Game Parlay with Brown and Lamb in the game of the week. On to Monday! We have NBA, NFL, and NHL action tonight. I'm not jumping on the College Basketball opening night action because all I see is a ton of huge spreads and no history to go off of. I'm staying away from that tonight but if you guys have any questions on those just let me know.


NBA:

7:30 EST

Clippers (-1)

  • It’s the James Harden debut night and this Clippers team is going to have a lot of fire power adding him to the starting 5 with Kawhi Leonard and Paul George.

  • The Clippers are off to a 3-2 start to the season and they have been the 3rd highest scoring team in the league.

  • The famous saying is that there are only so many shots to be taken but having these three plus Westbrook is going to make getting and taking open shots even easier for these guys.

  • The Knicks have played some close games recently but they have lost 3 of their last 4.

  • The Knicks offense has also been sluggggggish - 105, 89, & 87 in 3 of their last 4.

  • So when the Clippers 121 ppg offense comes to MSG tonight, I expect the Clippers to have a significant advantage offensively which should allow them to get this W.


8:00 EST

**Only bet if Porzingis is active**

Team Total

Celtics Over (113.5)

  • The Celtics have gone over 113.5 in 4 out of their 5 games this season and they’ve actually been pretty close to it through 3 quarters in a few recent games. They’ve scored 124, 155, 126, & 119 in their last 4 games.

  • The offensive efficiency with their top 6 is impressive to watch and then the bench guys come in and fire threes at a high percentage.

  • The Celtics defense hasn’t been great to this point so I do think we could see a high scoring game from both of these teams tonight. The TWolves put up 123 vs the Jazz their last time out and allowed 127 to the Hawks last week.

  • Let’s take the Celts to score at least 114 tonight.


NFL:

8:15 EST

Player Prop

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Over (46.5)

  • Ekeler has only gone over this number one time this season but he has a nice matchup coming up tonight against the Jets 31st ranked run defense.

  • The Jets have allowed at least one player to run for 47+ in each of their last 5 games including a couple big games - Saquon ran for 128 and Pacheco ran for 115.

  • There is some rain in the forecast as this game goes on so that makes me like this play even more tonight.

  • Ekeler should get 15+ carries and that should be enough to go over 46.5 vs this bad Jets run defense.


NHL:

10:00 EST

1st Period Goals

Oilers / Canucks Over (1.5)

  • Of course it’s juiced because it’s already gone over in the 2 head to head matchups between these two this season and each of the last 5 head to head matchups.

  • The Canucks have scored 6 1st period goals in their last 5 games.

  • The Oilers have gone over 1.5 goals in the 1st in 4 of their last 5 games.

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