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VIP Picks 11/7/24

2-0 and we just keep winning! 5 winning days and 1 break even day in November, 8 winning days and 2 break even days in our last 10. If you’ve been paying close attention, we have limited our action with 2ish plays on week days and then opening it up for more on the weekends for football. This has allowed us to narrow in on high percentage winning plays, manage the bankroll, and avoid major damage days like 0 and 4 which puts us in chase mode. Gamblers always want more action, it’s the nature of the gambling desire but having the discipline to limit your action results in more consistent winning at a high clip. With that said, we have EARNED ourselves a little heat check parlay for the football game tonight ;) I’m such a fucking gambler!


NFL:

8:15 EST

HEAT CHECK SAME GAME PARLAY (+625)🥉

Derrick Henry Anytime TD Scorer

Ja’Marr Chase Anytime TD Scorer

Mark Andrews Anytime TD Scorer

  • 3 guys to score touchdowns for a 6 to 1 payout? This is a realistic heat check parlay not a long shot.

  • Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in 8 of his 9 games this season, he’s also got 3 games with multiple. He scored in the first game against the Bengals and had that huge run in overtime to set up the game winner.

  • Ja’Marr Chase should be taking advantage of the Ravens pass defense that ranks dead last in the league allowing 280 passing yards per game. Chase had a MASSIVE game against the Ravens in the first matchup of the season where he had 2 touchdowns, 193 yards, on 10 receptions.

  • Mark Andrews has scored 4 touchdowns in his last 4 games and his co TE Isaiah Likely is out tonight. The Bengals defense has allowed the 2nd most touchdowns to tight ends this season.


8:15 EST

Team Total

Bengals (22.5) 🥈

  • The Ravens have allowed an average of 24.3 points per game.

  • The Bengals had scored 31 points less than a minute into the 4th quarter in their last game against the Ravens and ended up with 38. 

  • 4 of the last 5 Ravens opponents have gone over 22.5 for a solid 80% trend

  • The Bengals record isn’t great but Joe Burrow ranks 5th in passing yards going up against this Ravens defense that ranks last against the pass. I know Higgins is out but the Bengals still dropped 41 points last week.

  • I feel good about the Bengals going over 22.5 whether they win or lose tonight. 


SGP

8:15 EST

Derrick Henry 60+ Rushing Yards / Ja’Marr Chase 70+ Receiving Yards (-150) 🥇

  • Derrick Henry has rushed for 60+ yards in 8 straight games

  • Ja’Marr Chase had 193 yards vs the Ravens last time he faced them 

  • We are getting juiced at -150 but I don’t see how these guys don’t reach these numbers tonight as long as they stay on the field.

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