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VIP Picks 11/8/23

Solid 2-1 night last night and the one loser was a 7th year QB fucking up by fumbling on a pump fake with the game on the line. LOL! Great start to the College Basketball season with Baylor and the Rangers were a great play up 5-0 after 2 periods. Let’s keep it going tonight!



NBA:

7:00 EST

Celtics (-148)

  • The Celtics lost their first game of the season on Monday and it came in overtime in what was a sloppy game for them. They only had losing streaks of 2 or 3 games 6 times last season so they should be in a nice bounce back spot tonight.

  • The Celtics went 3-1 vs the Sixers in the regular season last year plus beat them in the playoffs when Tatum had the 51 point game in Game 7.

  • The Sixers have beat bad or short handed teams to this point while the Celtics have beat the Heat and Knicks who project to be playoff contenders in the East.

  • The Celtics are likely getting Derrick White back who missed the last 2 games for the birth of his second child. He’s averaging 15.8 ppg so it will be good to get him back in the lineup.

  • Al Horford doesn’t shut Joel Embiied down but he does slow him down

  • The Celtics have more fire power and I think they will have the strategy to outscore the Sixers in a shootout tonight


7:00 EST

Alt Points Parlay

Kristaps Porzingis 15+ / Jayson Tatum 20+ / Joel Embiid 20+ (-128)

  • Porzingis comes in averaging 19.5 ppg this season and he’s scored 15+ in 5 of his 6 games. He has gotten into foul trouble in 2 games so far this season and that’s one thing I think could be a risk tonight if he is guarding Embiid when Horford isn’t on the floor. I still think KP will get 15+ in a game I expect to be high scoring.

  • Tatum comes in averaging 30.5 which is 5th best in the league and he’s cleared 20+ points in every game. He also had 51 last time he faced the Sixers in Game 7 of the ECF last year.

  • Embiid is coming off of a 48 point game and he’s averaging a league best 32.5 ppg this season clearing 20+ every game. He also scored 20+ in 8 of his 10 games against the Celtics last season.


Cross Sport: College Basketball/NBA

7:00 EST

Parlay

Florida Atlantic ML / Bucks ML (-179) - JACKHAMMER 3 UNIT

  • Florida Atlantic returns just about everybody from that magical run to the Final Four last season where they lost by 1 point at the buzzer against San Diego St

  • They come into this season ranked #10 and should be plenty motivated to make another run.

  • FAU went 31-3 in the regular season last year and Loyola Chicago went 10-21. We already saw a crazy upset in College Hoops this week but FAU isn’t going to lose to Loyola Chicago tonight.

  • Then we have the Bucks who come in 4-2 and 3-1 at home. They are hosting the Pistons who have lost 5 straight games and those losses have all come by 9 or more points. The Bucks went 4-0 vs the Pistons last year with an averaging winning margin of 14 ppg.

  • The Bucks shouldn’t lose unless the 89% of public moneyline bets come in to play for the fix but it would really need to be OBVIOUS


7:00 EST

Parlay

Bowling Green ML / Toledo ML / Mavericks ML (+109)

  • We have a sour taste from a MAC big favorite losing last night but right back to Bowling Green and Toledo tonight.

  • Toledo is favored by 20, they aren’t losing the Glass Bowl outright.

  • Bowling Green will go on the road to face 1-8 Kent St who are 0-5 in MAC play and it has been UGLY for them - 24-6, 28-14, 42-17, 23-3 just not even competing.

  • The Mavericks are a solid 6-1 on the season and 3-0 at home. The Raptors are 1-2 on the road with the 1 win coming in overtime vs a Spurs team that doesn’t play any defense. The Raptors have also averaged 13.6 less ppg than the Mavs so I just don’t know if they can keep up. I’ve seen the spread bouncing from 4.5 to 3.5 on this game so I’d rather just play the moneyline with the two big football favs to get +109.

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