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VIP Picks 11/9/23

1-3 but at least the JACKHAMMER hit to salvage some of the damage. The Celtics came up short and Tatum cost us the same game parlay in what will probably be 1 of the 2 or 3 times that he doesn’t score 20 points in a game this season. Then the Mavericks cost us the cross sport parlay. I have us checked in at down -1.28 units on the week so a winning night tonight can set us up for a big weekend! Thursdays have been good to us so let’s keep that trend going.


7:00 EST

Canucks (-125)

  • The Canucks lead the league in offense and goal differential this season at 54 goals through 12 games and a +30 differential. Dominant at times despite it coming against bad opponents.

  • They haven’t played since Monday and they will be facing the Senators who got a good win against the Maple Leafs last night but they are still playing a game for the second night in a row tonight.

  • The Canucks will have backup goalie Casey DeSmith in net but he’s gone 2-0 in games decided in regulation.

  • The Senators will also likely have their backup in net on the second night of a back to back and he’s had back to back tough games with a 5.38 GA/G and a 7.50 GA/G in 2 games that he got benched mid game. This Canucks offense should be on the attack early and often and I expect Forsberg to struggle again.


7:00 EST

Bucks (-135)

  • They came through for us last night despite Giannis getting ejected for looking at a guy.

  • I expect a ton of points in this game with 2 teams who score at will and really haven’t shown the ability to play defense to this point. With that said, I’d rather back the Bucks to win straight up rather than go for the over.

  • The Bucks did tighten things up in the 4th quarter last night to make a comeback so they should have some momentum coming into tonight.

  • I’m going to make the analysis as simple as possible for this one tonight - the Pacers have played one good team this season (measured by current standings and only 1 would be in the playoffs if they started today) and that team beat them 155-104. The Bucks are a good team and they should win this game by scoring with ease and making a few stops down the stretch.

  • Giannis and Lillard are listed as questionable but they should both be playing and I’ve already locked this in because the line will move as we get closer to game time. -1.5 isn’t a bad play either if you want to get a little better value.


8:15 EST

Player Prop

D’onta Foreman Rushing Yards Over (62.5)

  • I love getting action in on players going against their former teams and that’s what we have here.

  • The Panthers run defense ranks 28th in the league allowing 131.8 rushing yards per game.

  • Foreman is coming off of a game where he ran for 83 yards on 20 carries against the Saints. He’s also gone over 62.5 in all 3 games that he’s had 10+ carries.

  • He’s averaging 4.4 yards per carry so we need him to get about 14 carries tonight and the books have his line at 15.5 so there seems to be good value on the over for his rushing yards tonight.

  • Oh, did I mention that the Bears starting QB is doubtful due to injury and the backup QB has thrown double the amount of interceptions as touchdowns this season. So the Bears should be looking to run the ball tonight.

8:15 EST

Player Prop

Bryce Young Rushing Yards Over (9.5)

  • One thing we have seen as a consistent trend against this Bears defense is QBs being able to rush for 10+ yards

  • Taysom Hill ran for 52 last week and he’s an exception to the “QB” but Sam Howell ran for 19, Russell Wilson ran for 13, Pat Mahomes ran for 28, Baker Mayfield ran for 17, and Jordan Love ran for 12.

  • Bryce Young is a very capable running QB and he’s coming off of a game with 41 rushing yards.

  • He’s gone over 9.5 rushing yards in 5 of 5 games when he’s had 2 or more carries

  • The Bears defense has been pretty good against the run overall but they’ve allowed QBs to run for 10+ and I feel pretty good about this one because Bryce could cover this on one single play tonight.

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