1-0 and a big one! I also gave some of you the CeeDee Anytime TD play who begged for a player prop! The Cowboys made us sweat a bit but they got it done and we got out +30 units in 30 days in November! $100 bettor made $3,000! On to the 25 days of Christmas and I want to keep it rolling for us starting up tonight. Let’s get into the picks and have a great weekend! I do want to thank all of you who were part of such a historic month, I always appreciate the loyal following and support from you guys.
Jaylen Brown Assists Over (2.5)
Jaylen has gone over this number in 7 out of his last 10 games
He’s averaged closer to 4 (3.8) during that stretch
Jaylen also went over 2.5 assists in 5 of the 7 games against the Sixers in the playoffs and 2 of 3 regular season meetings against them last year
With how good the Celtics offense has been at home this season I expect him to get 4-5 tonight - he’s had 6, 3, 8, & 6 assists in his last 4 home games.
Nuggets Over (112.5)
I was planning to smash the combined over in this game but then the news came out that Booker won’t be playing so I’ve pivoted to the Nuggets team total
I look at the Suns defense and the numbers aren’t great. They have allowed 113.2 ppg but they average opponent offensive ranking is 19.8 out of 30 so pretty weak.
Denver has averaged 114 ppg this season and that’s with Jokic and Murray missing time. Jokic is back and the Nuggets have scored 130+ in 2 of their last 3 games. Murray is a game time decision but he did play limited minutes on Wednesday so I expect him to be in for the ESPN game tonight.
I also believe the Suns will play at a fast pace offensively despite not having Booker in the lineup I just prefer targeting the Nuggets team total in this one.
Washington Over (26.5) DK (-135) better value than FD 27.5 at (-125)
Everyone is all over Oregon in the game tonight but don’t forget that Washington is ranked higher and they beat the Ducks 36-33 in the regular season meeting in mid October.
Washington averaged 38 points per game this season and they were 1 of 2 top offenses that the Oregon defense faced this season.
Washington’s offense has been held in check the last 2 games but they’ve also been playing outdoor games in November in Washington and Oregon. Tonight’s game is in a dome in Vegas so the conditions will be perfect for Michael Penix Jr and company.