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VIP Picks 12/1/23

1-0 and a big one! I also gave some of you the CeeDee Anytime TD play who begged for a player prop! The Cowboys made us sweat a bit but they got it done and we got out +30 units in 30 days in November! $100 bettor made $3,000! On to the 25 days of Christmas and I want to keep it rolling for us starting up tonight. Let’s get into the picks and have a great weekend! I do want to thank all of you who were part of such a historic month, I always appreciate the loyal following and support from you guys.


7:30 EST

Player Prop

Jaylen Brown Assists Over (2.5)

  • Jaylen has gone over this number in 7 out of his last 10 games

  • He’s averaged closer to 4 (3.8) during that stretch

  • Jaylen also went over 2.5 assists in 5 of the 7 games against the Sixers in the playoffs and 2 of 3 regular season meetings against them last year

  • With how good the Celtics offense has been at home this season I expect him to get 4-5 tonight - he’s had 6, 3, 8, & 6 assists in his last 4 home games.

10:00 EST

Nuggets Over (112.5)

  • I was planning to smash the combined over in this game but then the news came out that Booker won’t be playing so I’ve pivoted to the Nuggets team total

  • I look at the Suns defense and the numbers aren’t great. They have allowed 113.2 ppg but they average opponent offensive ranking is 19.8 out of 30 so pretty weak.

  • Denver has averaged 114 ppg this season and that’s with Jokic and Murray missing time. Jokic is back and the Nuggets have scored 130+ in 2 of their last 3 games. Murray is a game time decision but he did play limited minutes on Wednesday so I expect him to be in for the ESPN game tonight.

  • I also believe the Suns will play at a fast pace offensively despite not having Booker in the lineup I just prefer targeting the Nuggets team total in this one.


8:00 EST

Team Total

Washington Over (26.5) DK (-135) better value than FD 27.5 at (-125)

  • Everyone is all over Oregon in the game tonight but don’t forget that Washington is ranked higher and they beat the Ducks 36-33 in the regular season meeting in mid October.

  • Washington averaged 38 points per game this season and they were 1 of 2 top offenses that the Oregon defense faced this season.

  • Washington’s offense has been held in check the last 2 games but they’ve also been playing outdoor games in November in Washington and Oregon. Tonight’s game is in a dome in Vegas so the conditions will be perfect for Michael Penix Jr and company.

  • Oregon and Washington are the #1 and #2 ranked passing teams in the country and I expect a SHOOTOUT tonight. Let’s take the value on the underdog team total.


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