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VIP Picks 12/10/23

2-1 last night with the most exciting one being the Army Navy over hitting on an intentional safety to end the game, what an amazing hit! Our one loss was the Lakers + LeBron 25+ points because he finished with 24. Don’t forget that bullshit foul call being overturned to take away 2 free throw attempts from him late in the game.

1:00 EST

Alternate Spread

Texans (-3)

  • We are taking the alternate spread at -3 insead of the -3.5 for the half point protection even though it shouldn’t come into play today.

  • The Jets have lost 5 games in a row and they have not looked good. On the flip side, the Texans keep finding ways to win and they have won 4 of their last 5. 

  • Here’s a look at the point totals for the Jets during their 5 game losing streak - 8, 13, 6, 12, & 6. Ugly! Their defense which was projected to be one of the best at the beginning of the season has allowed 27+ in 3 of their las 5 games.

  • I look for CJ Stroud and the Texans to continue to find a way to win and cover in this game. 

1:00 EST

Lions (-3)

  • The Lions will visit the Bears who are coming off of a game where they couldn’t even score a touchdown so it’ll be tough for them to keep up with the Lions 6th ranked offense.

  • The Lions beat the Bears 31-26 in the first meeting and the reason it was so close is because the Lions couldn’t stop the run allowing 183 rushing yards which was an outlier to their season average of 93. I expect them to be better against the run today.

  • Jared Goff also threw 3 interceptions in the first meeting so he will need to be better in this game today. The Bears are still one of the worst passing defenses in the league ranked #25.

  • The Lions are the better team and they should cover -3 if they avoid the mistakes they had in the first matchup and other recent games. 

4:25 EST

Chiefs (-1)

  • Bettors are jumping off of the Chiefs bandwagon after losing 2 of their last 3 and 3 of their last 5. But not me, I’m all over them at home today against a 6-6 Bills team hat is 1-4 on the road this season.

  • We’ve seen entertaining games between these two over the last few years and I think that we are in for another today.

  • Both defenses are ranked Top 5 in points allowed but I think that we will see the offenses take over in this one like we have seen in recent years.

  • I think the difference in this game will end up being turnovers and Josh Allen has thrown 7 interceptions in his 5 road games this season.

  • Let’s go Chiefs!

1:00 EST


Ravens ML / 49ers ML / Dolphins ML (-167) - JACKHAMMER 3 UNIT

  • The Ravens are coming off of a BYE week so they should be fully rested to get back into action this week against a Rams team that is making a playoff push coming in on a 3 game winning streak. However, the Ravens have looked like one of the best teams to this point and come in with the #1 rated defense. It’s also a 1 pm game on the East Coast for a West Coast team so it’s like a 10 am start for them.

  • The 49ers will host the Seahawks who they just beat 31-13 on Thanksgiving in a dominant game. I’d expect more of the same today despise the Seahawks playing a tough game vs the Cowboys their last time out. The 49ers have a lot of momentum after stomping the Eagles last week.

  • Moving on to tomorrow night, the Dolphins will host the Titans and the Dolphins are a perfect 5-0 at home this season. The Titans have lost 4 of their last 5. The Dolphins have a Top 10 run defense so they should be able to slow down Derrick Henry. The Titans have the 22nd ranked passing defense so this Dolphins #1 ranked pass offense should put on a show. 

1:00 EST

Player Prop

Joe Mixon Rushing Yards Over (64.5)

  • Plus money +110 odds on this prop and it looks like a great matchup for him.

  • The Colts defense has really been a struggle against the run in recent weeks and looking at their last 5 games, they have allowed 177, 125, 167, 138, & 161. 

  • Mixon had his second most carries in a single game of the season last week with Joe Burrow out and Jake Browning in. I think Mixon will get plenty of carries again today as the Bengals look to attack this Colts run defense. 

  • Mixon has gone over this number 6 times this season.

8:20 EST

Player Prop

CeeDee Lamb Receiving Yards Over (90.5) OR Receptions Over (7.5)

  • I mean pick your prop with this guy, he’s been going off. Yards look good, receptions look good but I’m playing the yards.

  • Lamb has had 116, 151, 191, 158, & 117 yard totals in recent weeks and that 191 banger was against the same Eagles defense who he will face tonight.

  • During that stretch he’s had 12 catches on 17 targets, 11 catches on 14 targets, 11 catches on 16 targets, and 12 catches on 14 targets.

  • This Eagles defense is 29 out of 32 against the pass so I expect the Cowboys to attack through the air again in this matchup tonight.

  • CeeDee should be the go to guy for Dak like he has been and I’m expecting another 100+ yard game. 10+ catch game, and probably a touchdown for his 5th straight game

Anytime TD Parlay

  • Stefon Diggs

  • CeeDee Lamb

  • Christian McCaffrey

  • AJ Brown

  • Travis Kelce

24 to 1 odds


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