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VIP Picks 12/17/23


Great and much needed 4-1-1 Saturday for us plus the Leon free play for the Twitter followers. I took that one in at the MGM Sportsbook last night and it was a fun environment but I was one of the only people cheering in there! We are on to NFL Sunday where we can secure a winning week which will be pretty impressive to do after the way the week went. Let’s get it!


Cross Sport:

1:00 EST

Parlay

Dolphins ML / 49ers ML / Celtics ML (-125) 

  • MAKE SURE TYREEK HILL IS ACTIVE

  • The Dolphins will be looking to bounce back from the historic collapse on Monday Night. I can’t believe we are actually betting on them again less than a week later but they are facing the Jets who they beat 34-13 a few weeks ago. That was a big win even though Tua turned the ball over twice.Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle both had 100+ in that game.

  • The 49ers are coming in on a 5 game winning streak and going up against the 3-10 Cardinals. Kyler is back but this 49ers team is on another level with the #1 defense and #3 offense. The race for the #1 seed is on and the 49ers have a good chance to grab a better hold on it today if the Cowboys lose.

  • The Celtics will be home against the Magic who they just beat up on 128-111 on Friday night in a game that Porzingis didn’t even play. The Celtics are 13-0 at home this season and should make it 14-0 today.


NFL:

1:00 EST

Falcons (-3)

  • The Falcons are right in the NFC South race at 6-7 because that division is a joke but they have a good matchup against the 1-12 Panthers today and they are only favored by -3.

  • The Falcons beat the Panthers 24-10 in the first matchup back in the first game of the season where they leaned on the running game and great defense.

  • Atl picked off Bryce Young twice in that game.

  • The Panthers offense has been pretty close to non existent scoring less than 20 points in 10 of their 13 games this season.

  • Again, I'm not raving about the Falcons as being a good team but the Panthers are a fucking joke of a team right now so I'll absolutely take Falcons -3 today!


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Ezekiel Elliot Rushing Yards Over (59.5)

  • Zeke hit for us last game even though it came on his last rushing attempt of the game a win is a win. He’s got an even better opportunity in front of him today in a game against the Chiefs with rain in the forecast as the game goes on.

  • The Chiefs have allowed 114.9 rushing yards per game this season.

  • Who knows what the motive is in New England with Belichick likely wanting to win but the front office wanting to lose. I personally feel Belichick is going to be trying to win this game and the only way that’s going to happen is if the Patriots establish the running game early to keep Mahomes on the sidelines.

  • Zeke has his season high with 22 carries last week with Rhamondre out due to injury and I’d expect to see something around that mark again today which puts him in a great position to go over for us.


4:05 EST

Anytime TD Scorer

Cooper Kupp (-110)

  • Cooper Kupp Anytime TD bets were some of the most profitable options over the last two years but he hasn’t been doing much this year. 

  • However, he has scored touchdowns in back to back weeks and he’s coming off of a huge 115 yard game.

  • The Rams are also facing the Commanders today who rank last in the league against the pass so there will be opportunities for Kupp to score from anywhere on the field today.


8:20 EST

Ravens (-3.5)

  • I honestly don’t think much of the Jaguars who have lost back to back games and 3 of their last 5.

  • They’ve allowed 30+ points in all 3 of those losses as well.

  • The Jags defense has been pretty good against the run but terrible against the pass #31 so look for Lamar to make some plays through the air. 

  • The Ravens had a scare at home last week but they still came out with the win to move to 10-3 on the season. 

  • The Ravens have the #2 ranked defense in points allowed per game at 16.8 and the Jags were held to just 3 points last time they faced a top defense against the 49ers a month ago.

  • Let’s go with the Ravens to cover on Sunday night


*Will look to add if we get early wins or Tyreek is OUT

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