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VIP Picks 12/20/23

It was a weird Tuesday….UTSA’s QB didn’t suit up for the game which caught us off guard late. I know a lot of you were able to hedge off that one after seeing my tweet and sure enough UTSA still won but the Suns lost. The Avs lost to the Blackhawks. NURK came through for us of course! So I’ll document it as a 1-2 day but I know a lot of you went 1-1.


NBA:

7:00 EST

Player Prop

Brandon Miller Assists Over (2.5)

  • Going deep into the bag to pull out the Brandon Miller assists prop but he’s hit 70% over his last 10.

  • Miller is in the starting lineup with Lonzo Ball out due to an injury so he has been getting plenty of minutes.

  • The Hornets are playing the Pacers tonight and the over is 248 million so the pace of this game should be electric with a lot of offense from both sides.

  • Miller should go over 2.5 assists for us.


7:30 EST

Knicks (-118)

  • The Knicks will face the Nets and both teams are happy to be back on the East Coast in their own time zones following their West Coast trips.

  • The Nets have lost 4 of their last 5 with 3 of the 4 losses coming by double digits

  • The Knicks had a productive trip other than the second night of a back to back against a red hot Clippers team. They beat the Suns and Lakers on the trip.

  • The Knicks haven’t played the Nets yet this season but they fucking handled them each of the last two times they played them down the stretch last year winning 124-106 and 142-118.


7:30 EST

Player Prop

Reggie Jackson Points Over (9.5)

  • Reggie has been balling and he’s averaging 15 ppg over his last 5 and last 10.

  • He’s gone over 9.5 points in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10.

  • The good news is that Jamal Murray has been back in the lineup in recent games and Reggie has still been going over this number carrying the second unit.

  • The Nuggets will be facing the Raptors tonight who have allowed 125, 128, 136, & 119 in recent games so he should go over again for us tonight.

  • -105 is great value for an 80% trend and a good matchup. 


8:00 EST

Player Prop

DeMar DeRozan Threes Made Over (0.5)

  • He’s gone over this number in 7 of his last 10 games

  • He’s only had 1 three in 4 of those 7 but this line is 0.5 so you know what they say - “ALL IT TAKES IS ONE!”

  • The Bulls are home dogs to the Lakers tonight so they should be playing from behind and I think we will get at least 1 three out of DeRozan tonight despite how good Coby has been playing and hogging all the threes

  • -140 on DK but I think it’s worth it.


10:00 EST

Celtics (+132)

  • I intentionally didn’t include the Celtics vs the Warriors on the VIP card last night in preparation for tonight’s game and thankfully to Steph in overtime, we are getting the Celtics at a great number tonight +114 which will dwindle closer to even as we get closer to gametime.

  • NO Tatum tonight but I still like it.

  • The Celtics are on the second night of a back to back but they are 2-1 in those games this season plus they went 8-2 in those games last season.

  • The Kings are 4-1 in their last 5 but they took advantage of some weak competition in those wins. They got smoked 119-99 against the Clippers last Tuesday.

  • The Kings are 21st in defense while the Celtics are 3rd. 

  • Great value on Boston to bounce back as “underdogs” for the first time this season.

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