Welp....straight plays miss the winning night by one lay up by Fox and he came out with like 10 minutes left because the Kings were blowing out the Suns. UCF also forgot how to play offense after the 1st quarter last night. Big day ahead of us today! We are starting with 5 and we will look to add if the early plays hit! I will tweet/insta story and additional play notifications so keep an eye out. Have a great Saturday!
CFB:
12:00 EST
Arkansas State (-142)
I can’t ignore the fact that all the big bettors are smashing Arkansas St with 62% of the bets but 86% of the money on the spread and 53/95 split on the moneyline.
Both teams are coming in 6-6 but NIU was beating up on 0-8 and 3-5 teams while Ark St dropped 77 on Tex St and played a tougher schedule.
Ja’quez Cross and Zak Wallace are the one two combo in the Ark St backfield and they have a good matchup against NIU’s defense that allowed 161.8 rushing yards per game this season.
I think the higher scoring this game is the more it favors Ark St and the betting splits show 95% of the money coming in on the over as well.
NBA:
12:30 EST
Bucks (-142)
The Bucks are 2-0 in season series with 110-105 and 146-122 wins but yeah they scored 146 against them earlier this month
MIL hit at over 50% from three in both of those games so look for them to be firing away today.
The Knicks D has been suspect & they also allowed the Clippers to drop 144 last week
The Bucks are coming in on a 6 game winning streak while the Knicks are 3-2 in their last 5.
NFL:
4:30 EST
Same Game Parlay
Joe Mixon Alt Rushing Yards 40+ / Najee Harris Alt Rushing Yards 40+ (+128)
Backup QBs squaring off plus JaMarr Chase being out should lead to a steady diet of running the football in this game so +128 is looking nice!
Joe Mixon has hit 40+ rushing yards in 11 of his 14 games
Najee Harris is just 2-3 against this line in his last 5 games but he had 99 vs this Bengals defense a few weeks ago.
It will also help that these two teams rank 22nd & 28th against the run.
8:00 EST
Team Total
Bills Over (27.5)
Fade the Chargers after what we saw from them their last time out losing 63-21! They have now lost 5 of their last 6 but that one was the ugliest.
On the flip side, the Bills seem to be coming to life after beating the Chiefs and Cowboys in back to back weeks.
The Buffalo offense has scored 28+ in 3 of their last 4 games
The Chargers are banged up on defense with 2 D ends in question and a starting corner so Josh Allen should have plenty of time to throw and be able to take advantage of the secondary that will be short handed & is already bad enough ranking 30 out of 32
8:00 EST
Player Prop
Josh Allen Passing Yards Over (244.5)
As noted in the play above, the Chargers secondary ranks 30th out of 32 against the pass and they are going to be without a starting corner.
Josh Allen has had some big games against other defenses that rank towards the bottom in pass defense - 324 vs the Bucs, 359 vs the Jags, & 339 vs the Eagles.
The Chargers fired their head coach but they seem like a team that’s checked out while the Bills NEED to win so they will be more motivated and it all starts with Allen throwing the ball in this matchup.
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