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VIP Picks 12/24/23

I honestly feel the Bills play should have been a touchdown and that would have cashed both of our tickets on that game. 2-3 day and it's been a back and forth week but we are in position for a winning week with a positive day today. It's a smaller slate than normal but we are starting with 4 high confidence plays and if we go 4-0 I will add one more for the Sunday Night game. Here we


NFL:

1:00 EST

Lions (-154)

  • The Lions had a couple sketchy performances in recent weeks but they bounced back with a strong 42-17 win over the Broncos in their last game. 

  • They go on the road today to take on the Vikings who have lost 3 of their last 4.

  • The Vikings defense has shut down the run pretty good this season so look for the Lions to attack through the air. 

  • I still don’t trust the Vikings offense with a 4th string QB in there despite a solid game their last time out.

  • Let’s take the Lions to not make dumb fucking mistakes and win this game today.


1:00 EST

Player Prop

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Over (64.5)

  • He hasn’t been clearing this number in recent weeks but he has a good matchup against a Seahawks defense who ranks 26th against the run allowing 127.3 rushing yards per game.

  • Ryan Tannehill is set to be back today and Henry went over 64.5 yards in 4 of the 6 games that Tannehill played in this season.

  • Henry is 3rd in carries and 6th in rushing yards so look for him to get plenty of touches today vs a Seahawks defense that has struggled against the run.


4:05 EST

Anytime TD

Mike Evans (+110)

  • Big Mike has been a touchdown machine this season with 11 which ranks 2nd in the league.

  • He’s scored in 5 of his last 6 games & 7 of his last 9.

  • He has a GREAT matchup against a Jaguars defense that ranks 29th against the pass & they’ve allowed the 5th most touchdowns to WR this season.


4:25 EST

Cowboys (+110)

  • The Dolphins are 10-4 and they haven’t beaten a team with a winning record this season. They are 0-3 against teams with a winning record so it’s been a pretty soft schedule for them. 

  • The Cowboys have and they’ve also played a stronger schedule. 

  • I also think Dallas getting waxed by the Bills last week sets them up to be playing a little more desperate in this game with the #1 or #2 seed in reach.

  • Tua has been reallllly bad against good defenses this season and I expect that to continue against this Cowboys defense that ranks #4 against the pass.

  • Dak has been playing great and has multiple TD passes in 7 of his last 8 games so I expect him to come out firing. 

  • Let’s take the Cowboys as dogs on the road here because they are more battle tested

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