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VIP Picks 12/3/23

Welp, we lost some close ones yesterday with Bama and Georgia missing the over by 4 points, Louisville blowing the teaser due to turning it over on downs in their own end, and the Avs losing in a shootout to the Ducks after being up 3-1 after the 1st period. We did hit out Michigan play so the day wasn't as bad. That's our 2nd losing day in the last 13 so let's not let it set us back too much. We are riding a 12-4 NFL run so let's stay hot today!


1:00 EST

Teaser 7 Point

Dolphins (-2.5) / Eagles (+10)

  • The Dolphins will face the Commanders who are really starting to fade at 4-8. The Dolphins are coming off of a blowout win over the Jets & the Commanders got smoked 45-10 by the Cowboys their last time out.

  • The Commanders are 30th against the pass so don’t expect them to slow down this #2 ranked Dolphins offense.

  • The Eagles are home dogs vs the 49ers so we are teasing them up to 10.

  • Both teams have been great but Philly has done more against a stronger schedule plus the +10 is a nice cushion for the best team in the league at home.

  • The Eagles are 3rd against the run so they should be able to slow McCaffrey down.

  • Don’t forget Philly beat SF 31-7 in the NFC Championship last year.

1:00 EST

Player Prop

Tyreek Hill Anytime TD (-140)

  • The Commanders are 30th against the pass this season so look for the Dolphins to attack through the air like they can

  • Hill has scored in 9 of his 11 games this season

  • Not a lot to break down here just simply a mismatch for the Washington secondary

1:00 EST

Player Prop

CJ Stroud Touchdown Passes Over (1.5)

  • CJ Stroud has been balling and he’s gone over 1.5 touchdown passes in 7 of his last 10 games.

  • He’s also thrown 2+ touchdown passes in all 6 home games this season.

  • The Broncos defense ranks 22nd against the pass this season so Stroud should be able to attack them through the air.

  • The over under is 47 so Stroud should get his scoring opportunities.

1:00 EST

Parlay

Lions ML / Chiefs ML (+102)

  • The Lions are coming off of a stinker game but they are looking to bounce back today. They will take on the Saints who are just 5-6 and have lost back to back games to worse teams than the Lions.

  • The Lions have one of the best offenses in the league (26.7 ppg) when they don’t turn the ball over. That should be a focus for them after last game.

  • The Chiefs will be on the road taking on the Packers at Lambeau and they are 4-1 on the road with the 1 loss being the Mahomes flu game.

  • It’s going to be cold with potential for light snow so don’t expect the high powered Chiefs offensive know but they should still be good enough to get us the win.

4:25 EST

Player Prop

George Kittle Receiving Yards Over (46.5)

  • Kittle has gone way over this number in 4 of his last 5 games with yardage totals of - 89, 116, 149, & 78.

  • He’s going up against the Eagles who haven’t been very good defending the pass this season ranked 29th

  • On top of that stat, this Eagles defense has allowed the 4th most fantasy points to tight ends this season.

  • Kittle should be plenty involved in the game plan in this game & go over 46.5 for us.

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Parlay

  • Tyreek Hill

  • Jaylen Waddle

  • David Montgomery

  • Bijan Robinson

  • George Kittle

  • AJ Brown

  • Travis Kelce

  • Isiah Pacheco

260 to 1 odds


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