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VIP Picks 12/5/24

2-0 Tuesday and 4-1 the last 2 days feels pretty good going into Thursday Night! We’ve had 5 winning days over our last 7 and the 2 non winning days were break even days. Let’s keep it rolling tonight!


NFL:

8:15 EST

Lions (-3) 🥈

  • I’ll go adjusted spread here and pay a little juice to just have the -3 instead of the -3.5

  • 11-1 vs 9-3 this is a great Thursday Night Football matchup but I will call out that the Lions beat the Packers 24-14 a few weeks ago and the Lions were up 24-3 in that game.

  • Gibbs and Montgomery put up numbers 65 and 73 each but the Lions high powered passing offense didn’t do as much in that game although it wasn’t needed when they jumped out to an early lead. 

  • That game was in Green Bay and this game is in Detroit where the Lions are 5-1 with a few BLOWOUT wins.

  • Let’s roll with the Lions at home.


8:15 EST

Same Game Parlay

Josh Jacobs 50+ Rush Yds / Jahmyr Gibbs 50+ Rush Yds (-150) 🥇💪

  • Hey, I know it’s -150 but Jacobs has hit in 10 of his 12 games this season and Gibbs has hit in 11 of his 12 games this season so I’m willing to pay the price.

  • Looking at the last head to head matchup between these two teams, Jacobs had 95 (in a blowout) and Gibbs had 65. 

  • Let’s take this one as a strong play tonight!


8:15 EST

Anytime TD

Amon-Ra St Brown (-105) 🥉

  • It’s crazy to say that a guy is SO DUE for a touchdown but it’s true in his case because he’s gone 2 games without scoring which followed a stretch of 8 straight games with a touchdown including the first game against the Packers.

  • St Brown had 7 catched on 7 targets for 56 yards and a touchdown in the Lions first game against the Packers and he would have likely had an even bigger game if it wasn’t a blowout for most of the game.

  • Let’s take him to find the endzone tonight.


For those of you who want a small risk high reward play (off the official record just for fun):

Anytime TD Parlay

  • Amon-Ra St Brown

  • Jahmyr Gibbs

  • Jameson Williams

  • Jayden Reed

  • Josh Jacobs

48 to 1 odds

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