Here we go boys!!
SUPER BOWL:
Teaser 7 Pt
Eagles +8.5 / Over (41.5) 🥈
I like the Eagles to win, I repeat, I like the Eagles to win but I love getting the 8.5 cushion.
The Eagles kept the last Super Bowl against the Chiefs close and it was high scoring with a final score of 38-35.
The Eagles are the best team the Chiefs have played this year and they’ve been sneaking by all year.
As far as the over, the ref crew on this game ranked 3rd in penalty yards awarded this season so I expect extended drives and more offense.
Something like 24-20 (or better) gets the job done for us.
Player Prop
DeAndre Hopkins Receptions Over (1.5) 🥇
This one caught my eye at +123 odds!
I completely realize he hasn’t done shit in the playoffs. Totally get it.
But he’s such a high caliber player and it feels like 2 receptions from him in the biggest game of his life is an absolute lock.
The Chiefs acquired Hopkins via trade after Week 6 and he had 2+ receptions in 10 straight games. He also doubled that number (or more) in 7 of those 10 games.
Kelce and Worthy should be the focus for the Eagles defense which should get DeAndre 2 EARLY receptions. I expect this one to hit before Kendrick takes the stage at halftime. Great value at +123!
Player Prop
DeVonta Smith Receiving Yards Over (52.5) 🥉
Smith has averaged 7+ yards more than this line per game on the season.
He’s smoked this line vs the Chiefs in his 3 career games against them with 99, 100, & 122 yards. He went over 6-1 to start the season before the weather turned for winter. Tonight’s game is indoors for perfect conditions.
It feels like Saquon, Goedert, & Brown will be the focus for the Chiefs defense so Smith should come out making plays.
Plus wide receiver #2s have been having big games against the Chiefs all season.
Player Prop
Jalen Hurts Passing Yards Over (213.5) 5️⃣
The Eagles offense is all about Saquon but I believe the Chiefs will be selling out to slow him down which will force Hurts to make plays with his arm which he is capable of doing.
The Chiefs have only faced a couple top tier backs this season but they held Derrick Henry to 46 and Joe Mixon to 57.
Hurts threw for 304 yards the last time he faced the Chiefs in the Super Bowl and 387 in a regular season matchup against them before that.
Good QBs went 8-2 against this number vs the Chiefs this season and both playoff opponents went over.
Anytime Touchdown
Travis Kelce (+135) 4️⃣
Kelce has set a career low with just 3 touchdowns in the regular season but we are taking him to score in this one which could very well be his last game ever.
Mahomes has found Kelce for a touchdown in 14 of their last 20 playoff games (70%) and in 6 of the last 9 Super Bowl’s/AFC Championships (66%)
Eagles allowed Ertz to have a huge game in the NFC Championship and Higbee scored on them in the Divisional Round.
Let’s take Kelce to score here.
Anytime TD Scorers Ranked in order of confidence
Saquon Barkley
Travis Kelce
AJ Brown
Xavier Worthy
DeAndre Hopkins
Parlay pays 160 to 1 odds