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VIP Picks 3/1/24

1-2 and a Thunder win away from the +320 play….ugh that was annoying. I don’t regret going for it, parlays are hard and that’s why you won’t catch me chasing them that often. The highlight of the night was the Bruins and Golden Knights over hitting with 7 goals in the first 2 periods when we bet over 5.5 for the whole game. That’s a nice 8-1 NHL run we have going for us! Bout even on the week going into the weekend so let’s do what we did last weekend and GO OFF!


NBA:

7:00 EST

Parlay

Cavs ML / Sixers ML / Celtics ML (-172) 💪  to Win 1 🥇

  • The Cavs had a bit of a surprising loss in double overtimes in their last game out against the Bulls so they will be looking to bounce back tonight. 

  • They are in a good spot taking on the 9-49 Pistons who they have gone 3-0 against this season winning by 7, 8, and 9 in those games so the Pistons have kept them close but the Cavs have been able to get the win. Look for that again tonight.

  • The Celtics are coming in on a 9 game winning streak and 27-3 at home this season. It’s the 3rd road game in 4 nights for the Mavs..

  • Luka is listed as a Game Time Decision but the Celtics are favored by 9 points in this one. We are just taking them to win straight up. 

  • Tatum and Brown both had 30+ in their first meeting against the Mavs this season. 

  • Kyrie returns to Boston where he will get a warm welcome from the crowd…haha. He’s 0-9 vs the Celtics since stomping on the logo in 2021. “FUCK! YOU! KY!RIE!!”

  • Adding Bucks ML is an option for those of you who want to get the odds to +144 but I’m personally going with Cavs and Celts as a strong play.


7:00 EST

Alt Line Parlay

Donovan Mitchell (CLE) 20+ Pts / Steph Curry (GS) 20+ Pts / Jayson Tatum (BOS) 20+ Pts / Tyrese Maxey (PHI) 20+ Pts (-130) 4️⃣

  • We haven’t played an alt line parlay for a while and they are riskier than they look at first glance because of how many blowouts there have been in the NBA this season. I think Maxey is the biggest risk for a blowout tonight but he should score early vs the Hornets.

  • Mitchell going against the Pistons who he had 45 against last time he faced them. He’s scored 20+ in 13 of his last 16 games.

  • Curry is coming off of a 30 point game last night and he’s hit 20+ in 10 of his last 15 games.

  • Tatum is going up against the Mavs who he had 39 against last time and he’s scored 20+ in 14 of his last 15 games.

  • Maxey is going up against the Hornets and he’s scored 20+ in 10 of his last 12 games and is the clear go to guy with Embiid out for the Sixers.


7:30 EST

Warriors (-142) 🥉

  • I took a snippet from a write up of Warriors ML we had on 2/12 which you can see below. The Warriors have gone 6-2 (4-0 on the road) since then and we still have some time to cash in on them making their run down the stretch.

  • They just played the Knicks last night and won by 11. They will take on the 22-37 Raptors tonight who they lost to on 1/7 but that was the game Curry scored less than 10 points for the first time since middleschool on 2 of 14 shooting. He’s coming off a 31 point game last night so look for him to be on tonight. 

  • The Raptors allowed 136 points in their last game out against the Mavs.

  • I feel like the Warriors will be a popular bet tonight but let’s take them to stay hot against the Raptors.


8:00 EST

Player Prop

CJ McCollum Threes Made Over (2.5) 🥈

  • Great value alert here at -115 odds on DK, he’s going up against the Pacers for the second game in a row and he went 5 for 8 from three in that game.

  • The Pacers are definitely not known for their defense ranking 3rd worst in the league and 21st against the three.

  • CJ has gone over 2.5 threes in 8 of his last 10 games.

  • The over under is set at 240 for this game so it should be high scoring and CJ should go over 2.5 threes for us.

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