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VIP Picks 4/2/24

Slight profit last night after a 2-1 start to the week. Figures the NHL teams blew the big payout parlay of the night and perfect 3-0 start to the week. All good, back at it tonight to go for that 3-0 Tuesday!


MLB:

6:50 EST

Rangers (Heaney) (+136) 🥈

  • The moneyline isn’t making much sense to me with this matchup but it reminds me of the Game 1 of the Wild Card series last year when we stole money from the books with this same price +136 and the Rangers won 4-0.

  • The Rays have been outscored 18-4 their last 2 games.

  • Andrew Heaney is pitching for the Rangers and he’s held this Rays lineup to a .211 avg in 38 at bats.

  • Zach Eflin is starting for the Rays and he got knocked around for 6 runs in 5.2 innings in an 8-2 loss in his 1st start of the season. Josh Jung broke his wrist last night but this Rangers lineup still comes in seeing the baseball like a fucking beachball against Eflin, they are hitting .413 against him and don’t forget Game 2 of the Wild Card series last year where we bet on the Rangers to beat the Rays and Eflin and they clobbered him for 5 runs in 5 innings with 2 HR in a 7-1 win. 

  • Good memories, another good matchup, and a great price tonight. Let’s cash in on the Rangers as “underdogs.” Some intern working for the sportsbooks will be getting fired after this one!


9:40 EST

Guardians / Mariners NO Runs in the 1st 🥉 

  • Bieber vs Castillo is a must bet NO runs in the 1st scenario. The last time they faced off was on 3/30/23 and they went NO runs in the 1st (obviously). They also went NO runs each in the 1st 6 innings of that game.

  • Castillo has to get by Jose Ramirez in the 1st, that’s the big highlighted matchup for this play. Jose has 3 career homeruns against him but he’s also got him out 15 of the 20 times he’s faced him.

  • It’s Bieber Fever in the bottom of the 1st inning, some of the Mariners guys have hits against him in the past but he hasn’t allowed anyone in the lineup to go deep and he’s only allowed 3 extra base hits in 102 at bats. Julio is 0 for 6 with 3 Ks vs Bieber. 


9:40 EST

Red Sox (Bello) (-142) 🥇

  • Easy win for us last night and we are going right back to them in another scenario where it’s more about betting against the A’s than betting on the Red Sox.

  • They will have their ace on the mound Brayan Bello and he was really good his last time out against the Mariners. Not much head to head history for the A’s lineup against him but the A’s lineup isn’t very good.

  • The Red Sox will face Alex Wood who we bet against in his first start of the season and he got pounded for 6 earned runs in 3.1 innings pitched. Not much head to head history for this Sox lineup against him but they are clicking right now and Oakland made 5 errors last night. 

  • The A’s are a bad team and we are going to bet against them a lot this season.

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