VIP Picks 6/18/25

1-1 blahhhhh both MLB teams lost on the parlay but Panthers dominated as expected. 3-1 start to the week is still good though so heads up going into hump day!

MLB:

4:10 EST

Red Sox / Mariners NO Runs in the 1st

Yeah it’s -150 but we’ve got a couple of studs on the mound in this game. Luis Castillo will start for the Mariners and he is 13-1 NO runs in the 1st this season. Duran and Toro have both taken him deep before but Anthony and Narvaez have never faced him and Story is 0 for 7 lifetime. This Red Sox lineup couldn’t score a run in 9 innings last night so it looks to be an uphill battle going against Castillo today. Garrett Crochet will pitch for the Red Sox and he’s 11-4 NO runs in the 1st this season. He DID allow a run in the 1st vs the Mariners last time but he still has good numbers against these guys - JP Crawford 1 for 5, Julio Rodriguez 0 for 6, & Cal Raleigh 1 for 5. Arozarena is 3 for 4 with 1 HR vs him so really banking on him going 1, 2, 3 but worth it in my opinion.

7:05 EST

Angels / Yankees Under (9.5)

Theeeeeee Yankees have gone under 9.5 in 7 straight games. Theeeee Yankees have gone 3 games without scoring a single run, sounds crazy but it’s true and it hasn’t been against Cy Young type pitchers by any means. Kyle Hendricks shut them down last night lol. Jack Kochanowicz will pitch for the Angels and he’s 3-8 with a 5.53 ERA but 5 of his last 7 starts have gone under 9.5. I’ll admit the Yankees could very well snap out of the funk tonight. However, I think it’s hard to go from being shut out completely to having an offensive explosion. Ryan Yarbrough will pitch for the Yanks and he’s allowed 1 run or less in 6 of his last 8 starts. Trends are screaming under here. 

10:05 EST

Astros (-160)

Astros whooped up on the A’s last night 13-3 and they are now 3-1 and have out scored them 30-10 this season. They are going up against Luis Severino tonight who is 2-6 with a 4.47 ERA this season and they already beat him. Framber Valdez will pitch for the Stros and they have won 7 straight with him on the mound. He’s been fucking dealing too - 5+ innings while allowing 2 or less runs in 6 of those 7 games. Alvarez is still out for Houston but I still think they can get Framber a few runs and he won’t need more than that based on the way he’s been pitching.