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VIP Picks 7/10/24

2-0 Tuesday and 3-0 start to the week! Don’t look back just keep winning tonight. KOOOOFSPORTS!!


MLB:

7:10 EST

Parlay

Mets ML / Astros ML (+119) 🥇

  • Mets are going up against Patrick Corbin so that’s a must take game for tonight. Corbin is 1-8, the Mets beat him 9-1 on June 5th, and the Mets lineup comes in hitting .312 against him in over 200 at bats which is a huge sample size.

  • Luis Severino will pitch for the Mets and he got schlacked his last time out but he only allowed 1 run over 8 innings the last time he faced this Nationals lineup.

  • The Astros have Framber Valdez pitching who has turned in some REALLY good starts at home this season - 7 innings 1 run, 7 innings 1 run, 7 innings 0 runs, 7 innings 2 runs, & 7.2 innings 0 runs. He’s facing the 2nd worst lineup in the league so I fully expect another dominant start from him tonight.

  • The Marlins will have Bryan Hoeing opening up but he’s only pitched more than 2 innings three times this season so expect a lot of bullpen action from the Marlins who rank in the bottom half of the league. The Astros scored 4 last night but they’ve scored 5+ in 6 of their last 8 so they should be able to put up enough runs to get the win tonight.


9:40 EST

Braves (Morton) (-120) 🥈

  • This one is all about the Braves going up against 2-6 Slade Cecconi and his 6.10 ERA on the season. He’s coming off of a ROUGH outing where he allowed more runs than innings pitched. Opposing lineups have scored 27 runs in 3 of his last 5 starts so he’s been getting knocked around pretty good. 

  • The Braves don’t have much history against him but if teams like the Angels and A’s are teeing off against him, then the Braves should be able to score some runs off of him as well.

  • Charlie Morton will pitch for the Braves and he’s been soldi (for a 40 year old) this season with a 3.96 ERA. He’s pretty consistent going deep into games 5 or 6 innings every start and he generates a lot of ground balls which lead to less danger situations.

  • The DBacks lineup comes in with 116 career at bats against him and their combined launch angle is 7.3 so look for a lot of ground balls tonight.

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