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VIP Picks 8/19


Alright, that sucked. All we can do is move on to today. Bounce back.


4:05 EST

Parlay

Phillies ML / Twins ML (+154)

☑️ The Phillies will go up against 3-5 Jake Irvin who has been up and down this season & they haven’t faced him before

☑️ Cristopher Sanchez will pitch for the Phillies & he held WAS to 1 earned run over 6 innings earlier this season on 6/30

☑️ PHI lost last night but they should bounce back today

☑️ The Twins have won 4 of their last 5 & the Pirates have lost 4 of their last 5

☑️ Merrill Kelly will pitch for PIT & he’s really struggled lately, especially on the road where he’s allowed 14 runs in his last 10 innings pitched

☑️ Sonny Gray will pitch for the Twins & he’s posted a 1.89 ERA in 3 starts in August


4:10 EST

Player Prop Hit Parlay

Bryce Harper Hit / Jose Altuve Hit

☑️ Bryce Harper is 5 for 9 with 2 homeruns in his last 2 games

☑️ Jose Altuve is hitting .381 (8 for 21) vs Logan Gilbert plus he’s got a hit in 17 of his last 19 games 17-2 is a crazy stretch of hitting safely!


7:10 EST

Astros (Valdez) (-148)

☑️ Framber Valdez will take the ball for the Astros & he’s really dominated this Mariners lineup in the past holding them to a .182 avg in 66 career at bats

☑️ Logan Gilbert will pitch for the Mariners & he’s been hit hard by the big bats in the Astros lineup - Altuve, Bregman, & Alvarez are .333 (21 for 63) with 1 Homerun each against him.

☑️ The Astros bats were kept quiet last night but I have a feeling they will come to life against Gilbert tonight

☑️ Gilbert is also coming off one of his worst starts of the season


9:07 EST

Orioles / Athletics Over (8.5)

☑️ 4 of the 5 head to head matchups between these two teams have gone over 8.5 this season with run totals of 13, 15, 12, & 20!

☑️ Cole Irvin will pitch for BAL & he served up 6 runs in 4 innings against the As earlier this season

☑️ Ken Waldichuk will pitch for OAK & 7 of his last 10 opponents have scored 5+ runs

☑️ I think we can expect plenty of offense from both lineups against these starting pitchers



UFC

MAIN EVENT

Sterling vs O’Malley

What Round Will Fight End?

Round 3 (+650), Round 4 (+850), or Round 5 (+1300)

These are intended to be smaller bets than your normal 1 unit play because we are taking a chance at good payouts for three different scenarios. These are three separate bets. Basically if the fight ends in Rounds 3, 4, or 5 we get a good payout but if the fight finishes in Round 1, 2, or goes to decision then we lose all three bets. The line for the total rounds in this fight is set at 3.5 and then will the fight go to decision prop is at -225 so I’m liking how that lines up with one of these guys to finish the fight in Rounds 3, 4, or 5. O’Malley definitely has the ability to knock out Sterling but I think the fight will play out with Sterling looking to grapple and control the fight (and avoid getting knocked the fuck out). Peter Yan had a lot of success grappling and controlling the fight against O’Malley and Sterling is a better fighter than Yan. These two have been talking a lot of shit so you know each of them wants to finish this fight early. I’ll take my chances on the three potential payouts of +650, +850, & +1300 for .25 units on each and cheer for the finish.


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