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VIP Picks 8/30

Not the Tuesday we wanted after the Monday we had but what can we do? Altuve went 0 for 5 to blow out hit parlay so we drop to 17-3 in our last 20. I was really hoping our Astros/Sox bet would come down to him hitting in the 9th to cover so we won 2 bets on one play but it didn’t play out the way I had it drawn up. Then our Braves/Mariners parlay reverted down to just Braves moneyline since the Mariners changed pitchers. Can’t really classify that as a win at -235 but we will take what we can to salvage the day and move on to today.


MLB:

1:10 EST

Guardians / Twins Under (8)

  • These two teams have played each other 9 times this season and 7 of them have gone under 8.

  • Sonny Gray will pitch for the Twins and both of his starts against CLE have gone under this season with final scores of 4-2 and 4-3. Sonny has a 2.48 ERA over his last 5 starts.

  • Tanner Bibee will pitch for CLE and he’s 10-3 with a 3.01 ERA this season so his workload has looked great. He held MIN to 3 runs over 5 innings in the only start he made against them this season. 8 of Bibee’s last 11 starts have gone under 8.

  • Let’s go with the under today - I also think there’s good value on no runs in the first at -120 for those of you who want to play that instead


6:40 EST

Rangers (Dunning) (-155)

  • The Rangers will face the Mets and Denyi Reyes who has had a rough go allowing 10 runs in his last 5.2 innings pitched

  • The Rangers have won the first 2 games of this series and the Mets are just 3-7 in their last 10 games

  • Dane Dunning will pitch for TEX and he’s lost back to back starts but he should get back on track against this Mets lineup who has scored 3 or less runs in 7 straight games

  • TEX is in the middle of the Wild Card/Division race while the Mets are pretty well check out for the season


8:40 EST

Parlay

Braves ML / Dodgers ML (+123)

  • The Braves have scored 17 runs in the first 2 games of this series at Coors Field and the offense should continue tonight when they face Kyle Freeland who they knocked around for 7 runs in 4.1 innings last time they faced him on 6/15

  • ATL comes in hitting .348 against Freeland lifetime

  • 25 year olf Darius Vines will get the start for ATL and he’s ready for the big leagues after posting a 2.86 ERA in 5 starts at the Triple A level and he should get plenty of run support in his MLB debut

  • The Dodgers have won the first 2 games of their series against the DBacks and they are facing 1-6 Brandon Pfaadt who they scored 4 runs in 4.2 innings against last time they faced him on 8/8

  • Ryan Pepiot looks to be the starter for LA but it’s not official yet. He’s turned in back to back good starts allowing just 2 runs over his last 9 innings pitched and LA won both of those games

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