Oh the Braves….4 for 11 with runners in scoring position and lose by 1. The rain delay didn’t help at all. Tough start to the week but we have plenty of time to turn it around. Let’s get into today’s plays.
Phillies Game 1 / Rangers (-116)
The Phillies will have a double header today but make sure you are betting their moneyline for Game 1 with Zack Wheeler pitching.
Wheeler has been solid in recent starts and the Phillies beat the Nationals 19-4 the last time he pitched against them.
Trevor Williams will pitch for the Nats & this Phillies lineup comes in hitting .315 against him in a large sample size of 127 at bats.
Max Scherzer will pitch for the Rangers & he’s 12-3 in games where he gets 3+ runs of run support. He’s also held this Oakland lineup to 3 for 19 (.158) so he might only need 1 run or run support tonight.
2-8 JP Sears will pitch for the A’s & the Rangers beat him 11-3 the last time they faced him on 5/14
Twins (Gray) (-120)
The Twins have started August red hot going 6-1
They will be facing Eduardo Rodriguez who they have had a lot of success against in the past and come in hitting .329 against him
Sonny Gray will pitch for the Twins and he’s held them to a .203 avg in 64 career at bats with a 36% strikeout percentage.
The Twins are playing for their division and the Tigers have nothing to play for.
This is a good price on the Twins at -120 for this matchup.
Braves (Chirinos) (-164)
A little juicy but the run line is -102 if you'd rather take that. I'm just trying to stack winners so I'll be playing the moneyline as a strong play.
Mitch Keller will pitch for the Pirates & he's been lit up in 3 of his last 4 starts - 8 runs in 5 innings, 6 runs in 5 innings, and 8 runs in 6 innings.
The Braves haven't faced him yet this season but they come in hitting .351 against him in 37 at bats and they beat his ass 14-2 last time they faced him last season
Yonny Chirinos will start for the Braves and they have won both of his starts since trading for him thanks to 22 runs of run support. Chirinos is a guy who can get hit around a bit but I'm more conifdent in the Braves lineup to score plenty of runs with their history against Keller and the recent poundings he's suffered.
Dodgers (Urias) (-158)
The Dodgers have had a hard time with the DBacks this season but the DBacks are also just 3-12 over their last 15 games
Julio Urias will pitch for the Dodgers tonight & he held the DBacks to 2 runs over 6 innings the only time he faced them this season. Urias has always dominated this DBacks lineup holding them to a .194 avg in 108 at bats.
The Dodgers bats will face 0-5 Brandon Pfaadt who they have never faced but if everyone else is beating him than so can the Dodgers. Pfaadt comes in with a 7.11 ERA.
Let’s take the Dodgers tonight